- Lead
- 755
- Total
- 2,957
- vs nation
- D+27.0
Vermont Caledonia-Washington State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 774
- Total
- 2,880
- vs nation
- D+22.4
- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 2,574
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Lead
- 765
- Total
- 2,421
- vs nation
- D+27.7
- Lead
- 867
- Total
- 2,610
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Lead
- 333
- Total
- 2,414
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Lead
- 89
- Total
- 2,287
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Lead
- 410
- Total
- 2,011
- vs nation
- D+11.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4932024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 145 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,5082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Caledonia-1 State House District, VT · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Caledonia-Washington State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.9%
1,010 votes · D+33.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 65.5%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
80.4%
892 votes · R+66.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 77.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,785votes
60.4% of the vote · D+25.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,770 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,120votes
62.9% of the vote · R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 1,113 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+27.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +27.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+51.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +43.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Despite its working-class, small-town character in Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, this sparsely populated district has posted consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent presidential cycles, bucking the rural trend seen elsewhere in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 66.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.5 points.
A population of 4,493, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,508 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Caledonia-1 State House District and Caledonia-3 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Caledonia-Washington State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50CAW/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.