HarrisDemocratic46.3%2,027TrumpRepublican48.6%2,127OtherAll other candidates5.1%221
R+2.3- Lead
- 100
- Total
- 4,375
- vs nation
- R+0.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic49.5%2,054TrumpRepublican46.6%1,933OtherAll other candidates4.0%164
D+2.9- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 4,151
- vs nation
- R+1.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic39.9%1,391TrumpRepublican43.7%1,525OtherAll other candidates16.4%570
R+3.8- Lead
- 134
- Total
- 3,486
- vs nation
- R+5.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.0%2,712RomneyRepublican40.5%1,928OtherAll other candidates2.5%121
D+16.5- Lead
- 784
- Total
- 4,761
- vs nation
- D+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic57.3%2,942McCainRepublican40.5%2,079OtherAll other candidates2.2%112
D+16.8- Lead
- 863
- Total
- 5,133
- vs nation
- D+9.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic49.0%3,096BushRepublican49.3%3,118OtherAll other candidates1.7%105
R+0.3- Lead
- 22
- Total
- 6,319
- vs nation
- D+2.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic42.6%2,548BushRepublican51.9%3,101OtherAll other candidates5.5%331
R+9.2- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 5,980
- vs nation
- R+9.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.8%2,447DoleRepublican37.4%1,877OtherAll other candidates13.8%691
D+11.4- Lead
- 570
- Total
- 5,015
- vs nation
- D+2.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,4292024 5-year
- Population density
- 45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 187 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,6922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.9 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Caledonia-1 State House District, VT · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.4%
2,499 votes · D+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.3%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
84.4%
2,861 votes · R+71.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 81.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
3,096votes
49.0% of the vote · R+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,942 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
3,522votes
80.8% of the vote · R+62.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 3,497 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+12.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +9.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+58.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +55.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBeth QuimbyState House · Caledonia-3
RMarty FeltusState House · Caledonia-3
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering a lightly populated stretch of Caledonia County, this district recorded an R+2.3 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting broader rural realignment patterns visible across Vermont's northeastern corner.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 71.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.3 points.
A population of 8,429, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,692 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Caledonia-1 State House District and Caledonia-Essex State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Caledonia-1 State House District
Vermont
98.3twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale
Caledonia-Essex State House District
Vermont
98.1twin score
elasticitypopulation scale2008–2012 trajectory
Caledonia-2 State House District
Vermont
97.5twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50CA3/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District voted Republican by 2.3 points (R+2.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,375 votes cast, 2,027 went Democratic and 2,127 went Republican.
When did Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District?
Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District has a population of 8,429 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District is $68,692 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Caledonia-3 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.