- Lead
- 122
- Total
- 5,071
- vs nation
- R+0.9
Rhode Island 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 674
- Total
- 4,572
- vs nation
- D+10.3
- Lead
- 699
- Total
- 4,289
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Lead
- 1,236
- Total
- 4,065
- vs nation
- D+26.6
- Lead
- 1,295
- Total
- 4,294
- vs nation
- D+22.9
- Lead
- 882
- Total
- 3,939
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Lead
- 1,234
- Total
- 3,741
- vs nation
- D+32.5
- Lead
- 1,305
- Total
- 3,614
- vs nation
- D+27.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,1882024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,237 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,3732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 50, RI · twin score 94.2
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
82.2%
3,598 votes · D+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 66.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
69.0%
482 votes · R+41.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 63.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
3,598votes
82.2% of the vote · D+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 3,100 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
2,792votes
58.3% of the vote · R+16.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 2,648 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+41.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +37.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+35.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +20.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 63.2%3,520 | 36.8%2,054 | 5,574 |
Rhode Island House District 49 is one of the state's most competitive legislative seats, with its slim 2024 presidential margin signaling a competitive electorate that can shift across cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 17.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.4 points.
A population of 15,188, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,373 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 50 and State House District 51.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Rhode Island 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/44049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.