- Lead
- 23,778
- Total
- 40,006
- vs nation
- D+60.9
Pennsylvania 154th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,505
- Total
- 40,093
- vs nation
- D+56.7
- Lead
- 21,108
- Total
- 36,164
- vs nation
- D+56.3
- Lead
- 18,172
- Total
- 33,086
- vs nation
- D+51.1
- Lead
- 20,660
- Total
- 34,818
- vs nation
- D+52.1
- Lead
- 16,866
- Total
- 31,747
- vs nation
- D+55.6
- Lead
- 13,272
- Total
- 26,257
- vs nation
- D+50.0
- Lead
- 10,569
- Total
- 22,806
- vs nation
- D+37.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+59.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 62,9852024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,864 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 16.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $116,7502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 34, PA · twin score 92.5
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 154th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80.2%
32,145 votes · D+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 79.3%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
56.9%
1,926 votes · R+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 56.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
32,145votes
80.2% of the vote · D+61.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 31,689 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,911votes
19.8% of the vote · D+59.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,640 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+60.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +56.7 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+4.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+13.2 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · −4.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 61.4%22,612 | 38.6%14,234 | 36,846 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+59.4, District 154 ranks among the most heavily Democratic districts in the state, reflecting the dense urban concentration typical of Philadelphia's core neighborhoods.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 21.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.4 points.
A population of 62,985, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $116,750 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 34 and State House District 18.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 154th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42154/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.