Pennsylvania 127th State House District, Pennsylvania: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+12%. Democratic peak: D+39 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,6682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,7772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 772 | 988 | 1,783 | ||
| R | 787 | 930 | 1,741 | ||
| R | 664 | 819 | 1,559 | ||
| R | 703 | 718 | 1,446 | ||
| D | 822 | 682 | 1,525 | ||
| R | 646 | 738 | 1,393 | ||
| R | 501 | 604 | 1,146 | ||
| R | 423 | 477 | 1,031 | ||
| R | 390 | 448 | 1,113 | ||
| R | 348 | 594 | 953 | ||
| R | 321 | 632 | 958 | ||
| R | 309 | 513 | 910 | ||
| R | 432 | 461 | 911 | ||
| R | 310 | 561 | 899 | ||
| R | 423 | 429 | 923 | ||
| D | 622 | 311 | 937 | ||
| R | 428 | 523 | 955 | ||
| R | 359 | 485 | 847 | ||
| R | 389 | 438 | 836 | ||
| D | 365 | 302 | 692 | ||
| D | 372 | 299 | 690 | ||
| D | 452 | 272 | 737 | ||
| D | 482 | 226 | 748 | ||
| D | 252 | 229 | 619 | ||
| R | 161 | 399 | 623 | ||
| R | 146 | 239 | 465 | ||
| R | 156 | 188 | 395 | ||
| D | 163 | 101 | 295 | ||
| D | 139 | 26 | 293 | ||
| D | 147 | 116 | 282 | ||
| D | 139 | 132 | 284 | ||
| D | 161 | 118 | 285 | ||
| D | 153 | 121 | 280 | ||
| D | 158 | 85 | 246 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+37.1, this district ranks among the commonwealth's most one-sided, pointing to a rural or exurban electorate well outside Pennsylvania's competitive swing geography.
The Democratic margin in Pennsylvania 127th State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by twelve points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $79,777 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State House District 127, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.