- Lead
- 3,717
- Total
- 17,875
- vs nation
- D+22.3
Pennsylvania 127th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,688
- Total
- 18,260
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Lead
- 6,942
- Total
- 17,808
- vs nation
- D+36.9
- Lead
- 8,282
- Total
- 17,577
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Lead
- 10,584
- Total
- 19,543
- vs nation
- D+46.9
- Lead
- 7,045
- Total
- 16,317
- vs nation
- D+45.6
- Lead
- 5,294
- Total
- 13,477
- vs nation
- D+38.8
- Lead
- 4,654
- Total
- 11,887
- vs nation
- D+30.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 62,2392024 5-year
- Population density
- 8,644 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,3572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 30.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 57.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 22, PA · twin score 96.5
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 127th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
85.1%
2,883 votes · D+70.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 85.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
42.0%
2,560 votes · D+5.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 40.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
14,899votes
76.2% of the vote · D+54.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 12,765 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,981votes
39.1% of the vote · D+20.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,152 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+69.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.7 · U.S. D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +68.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−22.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+20.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · −23.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 53.4%7,922 | 46.6%6,921 | 14,843 |
Pennsylvania 127th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.9 points in 1876. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 62,239, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,357 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 22 and State House District 134.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 127th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.