- Lead
- 1,201
- Total
- 36,472
- vs nation
- D+4.8
Pennsylvania 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,348
- Total
- 36,368
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Lead
- 360
- Total
- 32,664
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Lead
- 1,130
- Total
- 31,267
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Lead
- 940
- Total
- 32,722
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Lead
- 1,092
- Total
- 32,459
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Lead
- 428
- Total
- 29,076
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Lead
- 454
- Total
- 26,629
- vs nation
- R+10.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,4202024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,252 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 28.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,3622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, PA · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.5%
20,058 votes · D+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
83.2%
5,564 votes · R+69.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 78.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
20,058votes
57.5% of the vote · D+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 18,717 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
23,525votes
63.7% of the vote · R+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 22,803 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+13.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.2 · U.S. R+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +10.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+52.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +50.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.9%21,559 | 41.1%15,046 | 36,605 |
Pennsylvania 38th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 69.9 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 3.3 points.
A population of 64,420, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,362 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 33.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Pennsylvania 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/42038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.