- Lead
- 4,049
- Total
- 26,640
- vs nation
- D+16.7
Oregon 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,383
- Total
- 31,292
- vs nation
- D+12.7
- Lead
- 2,886
- Total
- 25,803
- vs nation
- D+9.1
- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 24,306
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Lead
- 1,195
- Total
- 24,056
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Lead
- 3,031
- Total
- 26,139
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Lead
- 4,014
- Total
- 22,418
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Lead
- 3,492
- Total
- 20,613
- vs nation
- R+25.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,4392024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,338 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 21.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 50, OR · twin score 93.6
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
56.9%
17,803 votes · D+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 55.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
86.5%
2,081 votes · R+82.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 84.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
17,803votes
56.9% of the vote · D+17.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 14,849 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
19,271votes
80.0% of the vote · R+60.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 18,865 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+16.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +12.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1900
+67.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.8 · U.S. R+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +66.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 83.5%25,092 | 16.5%4,945 | 30,037 |
Oregon 49th State House District sits in the Pacific Northwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 82.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.2 points.
A population of 70,439, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,639 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 50 and State House District 30.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Oregon 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.