- Lead
- 26,151
- Total
- 52,845
- vs nation
- R+48.0
North Carolina 78th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,570
- Total
- 50,610
- vs nation
- R+53.0
- Lead
- 21,861
- Total
- 43,693
- vs nation
- R+52.1
- Lead
- 19,357
- Total
- 41,195
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Lead
- 15,792
- Total
- 39,583
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Lead
- 16,088
- Total
- 34,397
- vs nation
- R+44.3
- Lead
- 12,708
- Total
- 28,392
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Lead
- 8,175
- Total
- 24,210
- vs nation
- R+42.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,3652024 5-year
- Population density
- 105 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 823 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,3202024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 77, NC · twin score 97.2
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
53.1%
3,914 votes · D+6.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 52.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
77.7%
11,196 votes · R+57.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 76.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,094votes
24.8% of the vote · R+49.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,746 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
39,245votes
74.3% of the vote · R+49.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 37,316 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+18.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.9 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +18.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+53.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +52.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+49.5, this district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, suggesting a predominantly rural or small-town electorate with deeply entrenched voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.5 points.
A population of 86,365, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,320 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 77 and State House District 8.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.