akashic
1876–2024
State House District 15·North Carolina

North Carolina 15th State House District changed its political identity in living memory.

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
R+36
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
79,195
2024 ACS

North Carolina 15th State House District, North Carolina: Realigner district. In 2024, voted R+36%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+36MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
79,1952024 5-year
Median household income
$68,1482024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.2%2024 5-year
Black
12.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+84 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1972MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−35.8%
9,78420,93531,114
R
−30.2%
9,24317,55227,516
R
−34.3%
6,67114,14021,764
R
−26.7%
7,04312,28219,593
R
−21.5%
7,42811,53319,123
R
−39.3%
4,2859,86214,200
D
+31.1%
7,4883,91211,509
R
−19.6%
3,3085,1039,161
R
−15.6%
3,0644,5119,263
R
−26.1%
2,7284,6677,423
R
−41.7%
2,1765,3057,499
R
−8.9%
2,8083,3756,375
D
+14.3%
3,0302,2685,321
R
−61.3%
9233,9404,922
O
−1.3%
1,2501,3124,673
D
+22.5%
2,2681,4363,705
D
+32.8%
2,1191,0713,191
D
+48.5%
1,7876192,407
D
+54.4%
1,6284802,109
D
+79.1%
1,2641201,447
D
+72.5%
1,0331651,198
D
+79.6%
9081031,011
D
+84.3%
1,051901,140
D
+82.1%
996961,096
R
−7.8%
408477886
D
+44.3%
427161600
D
+29.2%
593325918
D
+20.7%
456299757
D
+55.0%
34325578
D
+10.1%
331270602
D
+28.1%
315172509
D
+36.4%
504235739
D
+45.2%
594224818
D
+38.8%
433144744
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.2%
English
13.1%
Irish
13.0%
Italian
6.3%
American
4.6%
Polish
1.8%
Scottish
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.6%
speak English only
Spanish7.3%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
10.3%
Baptist
10.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.2%
Methodist
4.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

North Carolina 15th State House District sits in the Carolinas. Its political identity was forged in the union halls of the mid-twentieth century, when industrial labor and the Democratic party became, for working people, two faces of the same political fact. That identity held for 1 consecutive presidential elections.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in North Carolina 15th State House District peaked at eighty-four points in 1936; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of thirty-nine points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $68,148 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 15, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 15, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 15, North Carolina voted Republican by 35.8 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,114 votes cast, 9,784 went Democratic and 20,935 went Republican.
What is State House District 15, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 15, North Carolina as a "Realigner" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 15, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 15, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in State House District 15, North Carolina?
State House District 15, North Carolina has a population of 79,195 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 15, North Carolina?
Median household income in State House District 15, North Carolina is $68,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of State House District 15, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 15, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.