- Lead
- 6,698
- Total
- 41,130
- vs nation
- R+14.8
North Carolina 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,088
- Total
- 41,354
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 4,670
- Total
- 37,355
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Lead
- 3,626
- Total
- 37,820
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Lead
- 3,568
- Total
- 36,687
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Lead
- 7,544
- Total
- 29,483
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Lead
- 5,992
- Total
- 24,963
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Lead
- 3,893
- Total
- 21,717
- vs nation
- R+26.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,0142024 5-year
- Population density
- 277 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 299 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,4572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 30.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.9 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 84, MS · twin score 87.9
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
81.0%
5,249 votes · D+61.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 79.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.6%
10,665 votes · R+46.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
17,891votes
43.3% of the vote · R+12.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 16,989 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
23,687votes
57.6% of the vote · R+16.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,979 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+65.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +52.0 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+26.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+17.9 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +24.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+16.3 in 2024 and R+9.7 in 2008. About 64,100 residents lived here, with White alone at 51.4% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 46.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.3 points.
A population of 83,014, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,457 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 84 and State House District 50.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.