- Lead
- 8,884
- Total
- 36,530
- vs nation
- R+22.8
North Carolina 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,432
- Total
- 36,898
- vs nation
- R+21.9
- Lead
- 5,034
- Total
- 34,190
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 3,084
- Total
- 34,124
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Lead
- 2,589
- Total
- 33,099
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Lead
- 4,951
- Total
- 27,146
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Lead
- 3,126
- Total
- 23,311
- vs nation
- R+13.9
- Lead
- 368
- Total
- 20,065
- vs nation
- R+10.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,0342024 5-year
- Population density
- 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,070 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,5252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.0 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 46, NC · twin score 90.2
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
81.5%
7,367 votes · D+63.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 80.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.0%
10,840 votes · R+43.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
15,428votes
45.2% of the vote · R+9.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 15,179 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,570votes
61.8% of the vote · R+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,523 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+62.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.6 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +60.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+22.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +21.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+24.3 in 2024 and R+7.8 in 2008. The district had about 104,000 residents, 52.4% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.0 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 43.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.3 points.
A population of 83,034, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,525 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 46 and State House District 171.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.