- Lead
- 1,670
- Total
- 18,792
- vs nation
- D+10.4
New Mexico 31st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 869
- Total
- 19,228
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Lead
- 940
- Total
- 16,775
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 1,547
- Total
- 16,840
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Lead
- 918
- Total
- 17,653
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Lead
- 3,682
- Total
- 16,568
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Lead
- 3,119
- Total
- 13,237
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Lead
- 2,261
- Total
- 11,594
- vs nation
- R+28.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,2862024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,594 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 19 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $150,8672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 101, MO · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 31st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
54.2%
735 votes · D+8.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
76.0%
3,519 votes · R+51.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 72.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
9,972votes
53.1% of the vote · D+8.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 9,823 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
10,037votes
60.6% of the vote · R+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 9,166 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+10.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +0.1 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+49.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.2 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · +38.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 61.0%8,242 | 39.0%5,271 | 13,513 |
| 2020 | D | 59.0%8,245 | 41.0%5,731 | 13,976 |
New Mexico House District 31 sits within the Albuquerque metro and has delivered lopsided Democratic presidential margins for multiple cycles, reflecting the dense, diverse urban core that anchors Bernalillo County's political center of gravity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 51.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.9 points.
A population of 30,286, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $150,867 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 101 and State House District 45.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 31st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.