- Lead
- 952
- Total
- 8,197
- vs nation
- D+13.1
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 12
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,088
- Total
- 7,812
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Lead
- 312
- Total
- 7,004
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Lead
- 937
- Total
- 7,018
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Lead
- 1,327
- Total
- 6,992
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Lead
- 932
- Total
- 7,031
- vs nation
- D+15.7
- Lead
- 577
- Total
- 6,055
- vs nation
- D+9.0
- Lead
- 1,129
- Total
- 5,468
- vs nation
- D+12.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,2232024 5-year
- Population density
- 832 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 17.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Merrimack 08, NH · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 12 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.5%
2,111 votes · D+36.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 59.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
64.6%
641 votes · R+36.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 60.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
4,507votes
55.0% of the vote · D+11.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,373 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,555votes
43.4% of the vote · D+11.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,285 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+15.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.3 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +14.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+30.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +13.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Strafford 12 covers University of New Hampshire territory, and its D+11.6 presidential margin in 2024 reflects the outsized influence of student and academic-community voters in a district of just over 14,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 36.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 14,223, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,287 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Merrimack 08 and State House District 133.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Strafford 12. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33812/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.