- Lead
- 3,793
- Total
- 20,232
- vs nation
- D+20.2
Nevada 15th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,582
- Total
- 20,196
- vs nation
- D+23.2
- Lead
- 5,727
- Total
- 16,846
- vs nation
- D+31.9
- Lead
- 5,860
- Total
- 15,386
- vs nation
- D+34.2
- Lead
- 6,152
- Total
- 14,599
- vs nation
- D+34.9
- Lead
- 3,511
- Total
- 11,846
- vs nation
- D+32.1
- Lead
- 2,535
- Total
- 8,329
- vs nation
- D+29.9
- Lead
- 1,800
- Total
- 5,772
- vs nation
- D+22.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 73,6602024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,710 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $43,4112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 38.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8.4 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 20, NV · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
Nevada 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1972–2024 · 14 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
70.2%
10,242 votes · D+42.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 68.3%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
50.2%
1,523 votes · R+2.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 49.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,685votes
62.8% of the vote · D+27.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,825 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,032votes
39.7% of the vote · D+18.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,103 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+34.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.1 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +34.2 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
−1.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+8.4 · U.S. R+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · −15.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Nevada 15th State House District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 8.4 points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 73,660, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,411 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 20 and Assembly District 18.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Nevada 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/32015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.