- Lead
- 938
- Total
- 6,718
- vs nation
- D+15.4
Montana 98th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 911
- Total
- 6,213
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 4,681
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 4,389
- vs nation
- D+3.0
- Lead
- 760
- Total
- 4,565
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Lead
- 239
- Total
- 4,110
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Lead
- 678
- Total
- 3,754
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Lead
- 136
- Total
- 3,434
- vs nation
- R+4.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8122024 5-year
- Population density
- 865 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,7062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 99, MT · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 98th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
82.7%
158 votes · D+65.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 65.6%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
66.6%
940 votes · R+33.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 64.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
3,707votes
55.2% of the vote · D+14.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,412 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,769votes
41.2% of the vote · D+14.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,501 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+71.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+65.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +15.4 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+18.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.5 · U.S. R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +18.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Missoula, this compact district posts presidential margins well above 15 points Democratic — a consistent outlier in a state that leans Republican statewide by a similar magnitude in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 33.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 10,812, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,706 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 99 and State House District 96.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Montana 98th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30098/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.