Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Montana 86th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1896–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1896 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German24.7%22.9%12.5%

English16.2%13.1%9.5%

Irish12.7%13.5%9.4%

Italian5.4%3.2%4.8%

American4.9%5.4%5.3%

Norwegian4.4%7.5%—

Scottish3.8%2.6%1.3%

French3.7%—1.6%

Mexican2.1%2.9%11.3%

Spanish0.5%0.3%—

Cuban0.4%—0.7%

Spaniard0.3%0.3%—

Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%

Choctaw0.3%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Median age	49.3	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	5.9%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	27.0%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Median household income	$58,323	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.4%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	28.7%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	65.7%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	34.3%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$390,100	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,015	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	46.3%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	10.8%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Mean commute	13.9 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	2.6%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	74.7%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.9%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	8.6%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.3%	4.2%	22.3%
Spanish	1.3%	1.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT HD 86	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.6%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.4%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.2%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.4%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.434	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic36.0%2,517TrumpRepublican61.1%4,278OtherAll other candidates2.9%206

R+25.2

Lead: 1,761
Total: 7,001
vs nation: R+23.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic37.8%2,588TrumpRepublican59.9%4,099OtherAll other candidates2.3%156

R+22.1

Lead: 1,511
Total: 6,843
vs nation: R+26.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic33.6%1,871TrumpRepublican59.4%3,308OtherAll other candidates7.1%393

R+25.8

Lead: 1,437
Total: 5,572
vs nation: R+27.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic40.1%2,210RomneyRepublican58.1%3,199OtherAll other candidates1.8%101

R+17.9

Lead: 989
Total: 5,510
vs nation: R+21.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic45.6%2,533McCainRepublican52.1%2,893OtherAll other candidates2.2%123

R+6.5

Lead: 360
Total: 5,549
vs nation: R+13.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic37.7%1,847BushRepublican60.4%2,957OtherAll other candidates1.9%94

R+22.7

Lead: 1,110
Total: 4,898
vs nation: R+20.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic31.1%1,314BushRepublican59.3%2,508OtherAll other candidates9.6%407

R+28.2

Lead: 1,194
Total: 4,229
vs nation: R+28.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic37.1%1,542DoleRepublican43.8%1,823OtherAll other candidates19.1%793

R+6.8

Lead: 281
Total: 4,158
vs nation: R+15.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+25.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 11,0252024 5-year
Population density: 339 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 32.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $58,3232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.0%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+84.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+28.2 in 2000MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 88, MT · twin score 94.5

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

92.0%

459 votes · D+84.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 65.9%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

61.2%

1,825 votes · R+23.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

2,588votes

37.8% of the vote · R+22.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,533 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

4,278votes

61.1% of the vote · R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,099 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1896

+90.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+84.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +33.5 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2000

+28.8pts R vs U.S.

Place R+28.2 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +27.9 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDave BedeyState House · 86

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	31.2%2,138	68.8%4,712	6,850
2018	R	36.4%1,956	63.6%3,420	5,376

Its Republican presidential margin was R+25.2 in 2024 and R+6.5 in 2008. About 640 residents lived here as of the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 28.2 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.2 points.

A population of 11,025, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,323 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 88 and State House District 55.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 88

% unaffiliatedpopulation scale% Catholic

State House District 55

median agepopulation scaleelasticity≠ French ancestry

State House District 87

% unaffiliatedpopulation scalemedian age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 86th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 86th State House District voted Republican by 25.2 points (R+25.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,001 votes cast, 2,517 went Democratic and 4,278 went Republican.

When did Montana 86th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 86th State House District voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Montana 86th State House District?

Montana 86th State House District has a population of 11,025 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 86th State House District?

Median household income in Montana 86th State House District is $58,323 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 86th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 86th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.