HarrisDemocratic21.2%1,359TrumpRepublican75.9%4,860OtherAll other candidates2.8%182
R+54.7- Lead
- 3,501
- Total
- 6,401
- vs nation
- R+53.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Montana 78th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic22.6%1,436TrumpRepublican75.0%4,762OtherAll other candidates2.3%148
R+52.4- Lead
- 3,326
- Total
- 6,346
- vs nation
- R+56.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic20.2%1,136TrumpRepublican72.5%4,080OtherAll other candidates7.3%408
R+52.3- Lead
- 2,944
- Total
- 5,624
- vs nation
- R+54.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic26.9%1,523RomneyRepublican70.2%3,967OtherAll other candidates2.9%165
R+43.2- Lead
- 2,444
- Total
- 5,655
- vs nation
- R+47.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic30.6%1,727McCainRepublican65.8%3,713OtherAll other candidates3.5%200
R+35.2- Lead
- 1,986
- Total
- 5,640
- vs nation
- R+42.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic25.2%1,408BushRepublican72.7%4,070OtherAll other candidates2.1%117
R+47.6- Lead
- 2,662
- Total
- 5,595
- vs nation
- R+45.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic20.8%1,167BushRepublican73.3%4,125OtherAll other candidates5.9%332
R+52.6- Lead
- 2,958
- Total
- 5,624
- vs nation
- R+53.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic31.5%1,805DoleRepublican54.9%3,141OtherAll other candidates13.6%776
R+23.3- Lead
- 1,336
- Total
- 5,722
- vs nation
- R+31.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,9272024 5-year
- Population density
- 1.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,666 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,9942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 37, MT · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
74.1%
1,576 votes · D+48.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 62.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.9%
4,860 votes · R+54.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
4,310votes
62.9% of the vote · D+28.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 3,845 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,860votes
75.9% of the vote · R+54.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,762 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+54.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +6.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +54.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRandyn GreggState House · 78
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+54.7 in 2024, compared with R+35.2 in 2008. The district had about 30,000 residents, 86.7% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.7 points.
A population of 10,927, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,994 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 37 and State House District 38.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 37
Montana
96.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 38
Montana
96.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
State House District 34
Montana
96.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Montana 78th State House District
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 78th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 78th State House District voted Republican by 54.7 points (R+54.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,401 votes cast, 1,359 went Democratic and 4,860 went Republican.
When did Montana 78th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 78th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Montana 78th State House District?
Montana 78th State House District has a population of 10,927 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 78th State House District?
Median household income in Montana 78th State House District is $63,994 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 78th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 78th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.