akashic
1876–2024
State House District 58·Montana

Montana 58th State House District delivered R+8 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of Montana's most reliably Republican legislative seats

18762024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+8
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
660
2024 ACS

Montana 58th State House District, Montana: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+8%. Democratic peak: D+59 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+8MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
6602024 5-year
Median household income
$70,0472024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.2%2024 5-year
Black
0.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+59 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+39 in 1928MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−7.6%
195228437
R
−6.5%
197225431
R
−14.9%
134186349
R
−10.7%
141176327
R
−2.1%
156163332
R
−19.3%
119178306
R
−32.2%
80169276
R
−16.9%
96143278
R
−7.9%
84106279
R
−20.3%
94143241
R
−26.1%
89153245
R
−36.4%
62146231
R
−15.9%
88122214
R
−31.4%
72141220
R
−23.1%
68114199
D
+3.4%
10598203
R
−19.1%
84124209
R
−26.9%
80139219
R
−35.8%
73155229
R
−5.0%
8392181
R
−2.9%
8489174
D
+7.6%
10691198
D
+29.1%
11159179
D
+13.4%
9471172
R
−38.7%
50115168
R
−34.6%
2682162
R
−34.7%
4395150
D
+1.9%
7673161
O
+2.4%
252382
R
−14.6%
354996
R
−34.1%
225288
O
+0.0%
343470
D
+59.3%
471259
R
−5.6%
394489
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.7%
Irish
18.5%
English
14.1%
American
7.5%
Italian
3.9%
Scottish
3.9%
Polish
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.9%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.1%
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Methodist
1.6%
Baptist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 68.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+32.4 in a district of roughly 10,800 residents, this rural Montana seat has shown little competitive pressure at the statewide or legislative level in recent cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-nine points in 1896; the Republican margin reached thirty-nine points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 660, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,047 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 58, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 58, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 58, Montana voted Republican by 7.6 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 437 votes cast, 195 went Democratic and 228 went Republican.
What is State House District 58, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 58, Montana as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 26 times, and other 2 times.
When did State House District 58, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 58, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in State House District 58, Montana?
State House District 58, Montana has a population of 660 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 58, Montana?
Median household income in State House District 58, Montana is $70,047 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State House District 58, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 58, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.