HarrisDemocratic27.6%1,411TrumpRepublican69.4%3,546OtherAll other candidates3.1%156
R+41.8- Lead
- 2,135
- Total
- 5,113
- vs nation
- R+40.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Montana 54th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic29.6%1,568TrumpRepublican67.5%3,576OtherAll other candidates2.9%153
R+37.9- Lead
- 2,008
- Total
- 5,297
- vs nation
- R+42.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic26.5%1,209TrumpRepublican64.2%2,928OtherAll other candidates9.2%421
R+37.7- Lead
- 1,719
- Total
- 4,558
- vs nation
- R+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.6%1,444RomneyRepublican65.7%2,910OtherAll other candidates1.7%76
R+33.1- Lead
- 1,466
- Total
- 4,430
- vs nation
- R+36.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic39.2%1,725McCainRepublican59.1%2,602OtherAll other candidates1.7%76
R+19.9- Lead
- 877
- Total
- 4,403
- vs nation
- R+27.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic30.1%1,268BushRepublican69.4%2,927OtherAll other candidates0.6%24
R+39.3- Lead
- 1,659
- Total
- 4,219
- vs nation
- R+36.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic31.0%1,129BushRepublican66.2%2,412OtherAll other candidates2.8%101
R+35.2- Lead
- 1,283
- Total
- 3,642
- vs nation
- R+35.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic35.3%1,225DoleRepublican54.2%1,880OtherAll other candidates10.5%364
R+18.9- Lead
- 655
- Total
- 3,469
- vs nation
- R+27.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,8042024 5-year
- Population density
- 57 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 191 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,9882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 40, MT · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
55.9%
467 votes · D+12.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 52.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
83.7%
72 votes · R+68.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 77.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,725votes
39.2% of the vote · R+19.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,568 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
3,576votes
67.5% of the vote · R+37.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 3,546 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+2.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.3 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · −7.3 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+48.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.6 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +47.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLee DemingState House · 54
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With roughly 10,800 residents spread across a sparsely populated stretch of Montana, District 54 has delivered lopsided Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting the rural, low-density demography typical of the state's interior legislative seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 68.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.8 points.
A population of 10,804, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,988 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 40 and State House District 39.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 40
Montana
98.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
State House District 39
Montana
95.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 10
Montana
93.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ German ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Montana 54th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Montana 54th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 54th State House District voted Republican by 41.8 points (R+41.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,113 votes cast, 1,411 went Democratic and 3,546 went Republican.
When did Montana 54th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 54th State House District voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Montana 54th State House District?
Montana 54th State House District has a population of 10,804 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 54th State House District?
Median household income in Montana 54th State House District is $69,988 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 54th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 54th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.