akashic
1876–2024
State House District 48·Montana

Montana 48th State House District has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential cycles.

One of Montana's most competitive legislative seats in 2024

18762024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+27
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
710
2024 ACS

Montana 48th State House District, Montana: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+27%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+27MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
7102024 5-year
Median household income
$76,5702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1904MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−27.2%
119212342
R
−24.1%
129214352
R
−26.7%
93172296
R
−20.4%
111170289
R
−6.1%
135153296
R
−25.4%
101172279
R
−23.6%
86143242
R
−6.0%
97111235
R
−4.6%
8596237
R
−12.2%
92118213
R
−26.8%
82143228
R
−25.1%
64115203
R
−15.6%
77106186
R
−29.0%
57106169
R
−24.6%
4984142
D
+5.7%
7365140
R
−22.2%
5282135
R
−29.8%
4278121
R
−33.3%
3774111
R
−2.3%
414386
R
−4.2%
343771
D
+2.7%
383674
D
+23.7%
362259
D
+2.1%
242348
R
−37.2%
132943
R
−42.9%
52035
R
−32.4%
122437
D
+12.1%
181433
O
+6.3%
5416
R
−23.1%
5813
R
−42.9%
257
O
+0.0%
336
O
+0.0%
224
O
+0.0%
224
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.0%
Irish
13.2%
English
12.7%
American
4.7%
Italian
3.3%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.3%
speak English only
Spanish1.5%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
12.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.9%
Mainline Protestant
6.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Baptist
1.9%
Methodist
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of just R+1.7, this 10,856-person district sits at the razor-thin edge of Montana's partisan divide, making it a recurring focus for both major parties during state legislative cycles.

The Republican margin in Montana 48th State House District reached its widest at forty-three points in 1904. The margin in 2024 was twenty-seven points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $76,570, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 710 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 48, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 48, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 48, Montana voted Republican by 27.2 points (R+27), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 342 votes cast, 119 went Democratic and 212 went Republican.
What is State House District 48, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 48, Montana as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 25 times, and other 4 times.
When did State House District 48, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 48, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in State House District 48, Montana?
State House District 48, Montana has a population of 710 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 48, Montana?
Median household income in State House District 48, Montana is $76,570 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of State House District 48, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 48, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.