Loading…

Akashic

state house district

Montana 33rd State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German34.4%22.9%12.5%

Irish13.2%13.5%9.4%

Norwegian12.9%7.5%—

American8.4%5.4%5.3%

English8.0%13.1%9.5%

Italian3.6%3.2%4.8%

French1.1%—1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.1%——

Mexican1.7%2.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%

Blackfeet0.3%1.0%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Median age	42.2	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	8.6%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.0%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Median household income	$71,653	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.0%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	21.9%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	73.4%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	26.6%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$197,100	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$809	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	33.8%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	18.0%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Mean commute	20.1 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.0%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	81.8%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	7.1%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.7%	4.2%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT HD 33	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.1%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.4%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.8%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	5.9%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.405	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic18.1%1,008TrumpRepublican79.3%4,417OtherAll other candidates2.7%148

R+61.2

Lead: 3,409
Total: 5,573
vs nation: R+59.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic18.9%1,116TrumpRepublican78.7%4,641OtherAll other candidates2.3%137

R+59.8

Lead: 3,525
Total: 5,894
vs nation: R+64.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic17.2%915TrumpRepublican76.2%4,051OtherAll other candidates6.6%350

R+59.0

Lead: 3,136
Total: 5,316
vs nation: R+61.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic26.7%1,427RomneyRepublican69.3%3,698OtherAll other candidates3.9%210

R+42.6

Lead: 2,271
Total: 5,335
vs nation: R+46.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic34.4%1,827McCainRepublican60.9%3,235OtherAll other candidates4.7%247

R+26.5

Lead: 1,408
Total: 5,309
vs nation: R+33.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic32.4%1,722BushRepublican65.3%3,468OtherAll other candidates2.3%121

R+32.9

Lead: 1,746
Total: 5,311
vs nation: R+30.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic31.0%1,561BushRepublican64.6%3,248OtherAll other candidates4.4%219

R+33.6

Lead: 1,687
Total: 5,028
vs nation: R+34.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic39.7%2,186DoleRepublican41.2%2,269OtherAll other candidates19.1%1,053

R+1.5

Lead: 83
Total: 5,508
vs nation: R+10.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,9002024 5-year
Population density: 3.6 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 3,021 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $71,6532024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.4%2024 5-year
Black: 0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+30.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 18, MT · twin score 94.3

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

64.5%

2,658 votes · D+30.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 58.0%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

79.3%

4,417 votes · R+61.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1916

3,210votes

55.6% of the vote · D+15.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 3,128 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

4,641votes

78.7% of the vote · R+59.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,417 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1916

+12.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+15.1 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +5.8 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+64.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+59.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +61.1 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RBrandon LerState House · 33

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	18.5%996	81.5%4,391	5,387
2020	R	23.2%1,345	76.8%4,458	5,803
2018	R	27.7%1,296	72.3%3,380	4,676

The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+61.2 in 2024, compared with R+26.5 in 2008. The district had about 12,300 residents, 91.9% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.2 points.

A population of 10,900, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,653 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 18 and State House District 28B.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 18

2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Evangelical

State House District 28B

2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

State House District 33

2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Montana 33rd State House District

counties it covers2

Dawson County Richland County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 33rd State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 33rd State House District voted Republican by 61.2 points (R+61.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,573 votes cast, 1,008 went Democratic and 4,417 went Republican.

When did Montana 33rd State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 33rd State House District voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Montana 33rd State House District?

Montana 33rd State House District has a population of 10,900 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 33rd State House District?

Median household income in Montana 33rd State House District is $71,653 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 33rd State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 33rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.