- Lead
- 488
- Total
- 4,576
- vs nation
- R+9.2
Montana 23rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 480
- Total
- 4,647
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Lead
- 451
- Total
- 4,071
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Lead
- 92
- Total
- 4,117
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Lead
- 599
- Total
- 4,312
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Lead
- 187
- Total
- 3,951
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Lead
- 179
- Total
- 3,944
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Lead
- 603
- Total
- 4,224
- vs nation
- D+5.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,9072024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,537 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,3452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 24, MT · twin score 92.0
presidential history
Party record book
Montana 23rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
80.3%
404 votes · D+60.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 79.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
54.1%
720 votes · R+14.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 54.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,414votes
56.0% of the vote · D+13.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 2,402 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
2,500votes
53.8% of the vote · R+10.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,470 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+66.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +39.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+14.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.3 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +13.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With roughly 11,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of just one point Democratic, this district sits at the competitive edge of Montana's legislative map, where small shifts in turnout can flip outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 18.4 points in 1924. The 2024 margin was 10.7 points.
A population of 10,907, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,345 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 24 and State House District 20.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Montana 23rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.