- Lead
- 10,494
- Total
- 24,749
- vs nation
- D+43.9
Massachusetts 95th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,470
- Total
- 25,565
- vs nation
- D+40.4
- Lead
- 8,031
- Total
- 23,717
- vs nation
- D+31.8
- Lead
- 5,534
- Total
- 21,473
- vs nation
- D+21.9
- Lead
- 6,141
- Total
- 21,035
- vs nation
- D+21.9
- Lead
- 5,750
- Total
- 19,869
- vs nation
- D+31.4
- Lead
- 5,789
- Total
- 19,293
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Lead
- 6,512
- Total
- 18,554
- vs nation
- D+26.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+42.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,9232024 5-year
- Population density
- 523 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 84 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $147,3922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 5th Middlesex District, MA · twin score 99.5
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 95th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
76.9%
12,836 votes · D+54.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 71.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
69.2%
1,654 votes · R+49.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
18,154votes
71.0% of the vote · D+44.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,295 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
9,697votes
60.1% of the vote · R+20.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 9,079 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+43.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +40.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +22.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%16,140 | 0.0%0 | 16,140 |
| 2020 | D | 78.9%16,328 | 21.1%4,379 | 20,707 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+42.4, the 37th Middlesex District ranks among the most one-sided state house seats in the commonwealth, reflecting the dense, highly educated urban electorate typical of inner Middlesex County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.4 points.
A population of 43,923, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $147,392 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 5th Middlesex District and 14th Middlesex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 95th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.