- Lead
- 15,909
- Total
- 25,099
- vs nation
- D+64.9
Massachusetts 82nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,347
- Total
- 26,562
- vs nation
- D+60.9
- Lead
- 14,313
- Total
- 25,346
- vs nation
- D+54.4
- Lead
- 11,452
- Total
- 22,756
- vs nation
- D+46.5
- Lead
- 11,788
- Total
- 22,313
- vs nation
- D+45.6
- Lead
- 11,071
- Total
- 21,078
- vs nation
- D+55.0
- Lead
- 10,575
- Total
- 20,308
- vs nation
- D+51.6
- Lead
- 10,908
- Total
- 19,690
- vs nation
- D+46.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+63.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,3062024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,970 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $173,3522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 11th Middlesex District, MA · twin score 98.8
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 82nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
84.9%
15,887 votes · D+70.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 81.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
59.7%
1,167 votes · R+28.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 57.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
21,659votes
81.5% of the vote · D+65.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 20,064 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
7,000votes
47.1% of the vote · D+5.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 6,503 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+64.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+63.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +61.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+22.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +1.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%17,168 | 0.0%0 | 17,168 |
| 2020 | D | 80.6%17,325 | 19.4%4,165 | 21,490 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+63.4, the 24th Middlesex District ranks among the most heavily Democratic legislative districts in the state, reflecting the dense, urban-adjacent demographics typical of inner Middlesex County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 28.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.4 points.
A population of 45,306, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $173,352 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 11th Middlesex District and 12th Middlesex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 82nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25082/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.