HarrisDemocratic42.3%2,205TrumpRepublican54.2%2,825OtherAll other candidates3.4%178
R+11.9- Lead
- 620
- Total
- 5,208
- vs nation
- R+10.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Maine 38th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic43.1%2,171TrumpRepublican52.9%2,667OtherAll other candidates4.0%200
R+9.8- Lead
- 496
- Total
- 5,038
- vs nation
- R+14.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic39.1%1,906TrumpRepublican51.2%2,498OtherAll other candidates9.7%475
R+12.1- Lead
- 592
- Total
- 4,879
- vs nation
- R+14.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic46.9%2,040RomneyRepublican50.0%2,176OtherAll other candidates3.1%136
R+3.1- Lead
- 136
- Total
- 4,352
- vs nation
- R+7.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.6%2,164McCainRepublican50.1%2,277OtherAll other candidates2.3%105
R+2.5- Lead
- 113
- Total
- 4,546
- vs nation
- R+9.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic44.7%2,086BushRepublican53.1%2,477OtherAll other candidates2.2%105
R+8.4- Lead
- 391
- Total
- 4,668
- vs nation
- R+5.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.6%1,553BushRepublican50.4%2,083OtherAll other candidates12.0%495
R+12.8- Lead
- 530
- Total
- 4,131
- vs nation
- R+13.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic39.0%1,438DoleRepublican34.1%1,256OtherAll other candidates26.9%991
D+4.9- Lead
- 182
- Total
- 3,685
- vs nation
- R+3.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,1542024 5-year
- Population density
- 40 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 231 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,7972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.4 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 37, ME · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.7%
957 votes · D+9.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 50.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
86.7%
1,563 votes · R+73.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 85.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,205votes
42.3% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,171 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,825votes
54.2% of the vote · R+11.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,667 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
−1.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.0 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −3.6 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+69.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.3 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +65.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBen HymesState House · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.3%3,100 | 44.7%2,505 | 5,605 |
With roughly 9,000 residents, this state house district recorded an R+11.9 margin in 2024, reflecting a pattern common to Maine's less-densely settled inland and coastal communities where ticket-splitting remains historically notable.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 73.4 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.9 points.
A population of 9,154, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,797 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 37 and State House District 13.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 37
Maine
94.9twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale% Catholic≠ median age
State House District 13
Maine
92.4twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale% Catholic
State House District 70
Maine
90.9twin score
% unaffiliatedpopulation scale% White≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maine 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Maine 38th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Maine 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maine 38th State House District voted Republican by 11.9 points (R+11.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,208 votes cast, 2,205 went Democratic and 2,825 went Republican.
When did Maine 38th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Maine 38th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Maine 38th State House District?
Maine 38th State House District has a population of 9,154 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maine 38th State House District?
Median household income in Maine 38th State House District is $65,797 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Maine 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 38th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.