akashic
1876–2024
State House District 38·Maine

Maine 38th State House District delivered D+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A rural Maine district that has leaned Republican by double digits

18762024·38 elections
ME
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
12,445
2024 ACS

Maine 38th State House District, Maine: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+65 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
12,4452024 5-year
Median household income
$72,7822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+65 in 1956MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+3.4%
3,9203,6587,781
D
+4.7%
3,8223,4677,606
D
+0.3%
3,2333,2137,031
D
+10.6%
3,4982,8056,521
D
+11.6%
3,7052,9186,766
D
+5.6%
3,5783,1926,910
R
−1.1%
2,6252,6905,926
D
+15.6%
2,4811,6475,350
D
+6.6%
2,0041,6235,737
R
−12.4%
1,9822,5504,576
R
−24.9%
1,6382,7294,386
R
−12.4%
1,5122,0174,069
R
−12.3%
1,5031,9473,602
R
−37.5%
9112,0062,917
R
−15.1%
1,0911,4932,657
D
+23.8%
1,6711,0292,701
R
−41.3%
8812,1193,000
R
−65.2%
4292,0402,469
R
−60.8%
4781,9702,454
R
−49.2%
4551,3531,824
R
−40.7%
5601,3291,890
R
−23.3%
9951,6012,600
R
−32.2%
8291,6442,530
R
−7.1%
1,2101,3952,622
R
−54.8%
4341,5021,949
R
−54.5%
3481,2391,635
R
−44.3%
5161,3571,897
D
+2.4%
7867491,574
D
+26.1%
6642731,499
R
−29.3%
4137711,220
R
−33.6%
3386961,065
R
−17.8%
5297641,319
R
−24.9%
6001,0071,633
R
−7.2%
6667751,523
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
25.4%
Irish
16.2%
German
10.3%
American
8.7%
French
7.7%
Scottish
4.6%
Italian
4.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.1%
Spanish0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
5.5%
Baptist
2.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.5%
Methodist
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Non-Christian
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 85.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With roughly 9,000 residents, this state house district recorded an R+11.9 margin in 2024, reflecting a pattern common to Maine's less-densely settled inland and coastal communities where ticket-splitting remains historically notable.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-six points in 1912; the Republican margin reached sixty-five points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 12,445, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,782 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 38, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 38, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 38, Maine voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,781 votes cast, 3,920 went Democratic and 3,658 went Republican.
What is State House District 38, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 38, Maine as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 38, Maine last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 38, Maine voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in State House District 38, Maine?
State House District 38, Maine has a population of 12,445 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 38, Maine?
Median household income in State House District 38, Maine is $72,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of State House District 38, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 38, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.