- Lead
- 1,142
- Total
- 4,736
- vs nation
- R+22.6
Maine 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 4,900
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 713
- Total
- 4,845
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 480
- Total
- 4,718
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Lead
- 618
- Total
- 5,010
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 430
- Total
- 5,283
- vs nation
- D+10.6
- Lead
- 200
- Total
- 4,946
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Lead
- 1,148
- Total
- 4,876
- vs nation
- D+15.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,2462024 5-year
- Population density
- 21 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 438 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,2352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 4, ME · twin score 99.5
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.7%
2,497 votes · D+29.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 55.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
87.9%
1,512 votes · R+75.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 82.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
2,800votes
53.0% of the vote · D+8.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,757 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,933votes
62.2% of the vote · R+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,902 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+15.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.5 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +10.6 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+52.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.4 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +49.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 40.5%1,965 | 59.5%2,886 | 4,851 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+24.1, this rural district ranks among the most reliably right-leaning constituencies in the state, leaving little competitive daylight in most election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 75.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.1 points.
A population of 9,246, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,235 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 4 and State House District 1.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.