- Lead
- 492
- Total
- 4,910
- vs nation
- R+8.5
Maine 2nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4
- Total
- 4,921
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Lead
- 335
- Total
- 4,932
- vs nation
- D+4.7
- Lead
- 1,635
- Total
- 5,246
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Lead
- 1,872
- Total
- 5,622
- vs nation
- D+26.0
- Lead
- 1,722
- Total
- 5,753
- vs nation
- D+32.4
- Lead
- 1,359
- Total
- 5,296
- vs nation
- D+25.1
- Lead
- 2,201
- Total
- 5,347
- vs nation
- D+32.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,1292024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 602 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,8942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, ME · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.7%
3,293 votes · D+49.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 65.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
81.2%
1,253 votes · R+63.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 73.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
3,689votes
64.1% of the vote · D+29.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,653 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,666votes
54.3% of the vote · R+10.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,439 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+32.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.2 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +32.4 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+36.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.0 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +33.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 40.5%1,940 | 59.5%2,850 | 4,790 |
Covering sparsely populated terrain in western Maine, this district of roughly 9,000 residents backed the 2024 Republican presidential candidate by 10 points, reflecting the broader rightward drift of rural New England over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.0 points.
A population of 9,129, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,894 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 4.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.