HarrisDemocratic11.4%2,323TrumpRepublican87.9%17,928OtherAll other candidates0.7%141
R+76.5- Lead
- 15,605
- Total
- 20,392
- vs nation
- R+75.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Louisiana 15th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic10.3%2,224TrumpRepublican88.5%19,162OtherAll other candidates1.3%271
R+78.2- Lead
- 16,938
- Total
- 21,657
- vs nation
- R+82.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic9.1%1,896TrumpRepublican88.1%18,394OtherAll other candidates2.8%589
R+79.0- Lead
- 16,498
- Total
- 20,879
- vs nation
- R+81.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic10.1%2,057RomneyRepublican88.7%18,014OtherAll other candidates1.2%244
R+78.5- Lead
- 15,957
- Total
- 20,315
- vs nation
- R+82.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic9.4%1,917McCainRepublican89.8%18,397OtherAll other candidates0.8%172
R+80.4- Lead
- 16,480
- Total
- 20,486
- vs nation
- R+87.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic8.4%1,707BushRepublican90.7%18,403OtherAll other candidates0.8%172
R+82.3- Lead
- 16,696
- Total
- 20,282
- vs nation
- R+79.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic9.5%1,679BushRepublican87.7%15,444OtherAll other candidates2.8%487
R+78.2- Lead
- 13,765
- Total
- 17,610
- vs nation
- R+78.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic12.0%1,900DoleRepublican79.2%12,559OtherAll other candidates8.8%1,393
R+67.2- Lead
- 10,659
- Total
- 15,852
- vs nation
- R+75.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+76.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,9342024 5-year
- Population density
- 195 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 225 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,2882024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.0 in 1888MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+93.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 31, OK · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Louisiana 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1888
98.5%
200 votes · D+97.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 92.0%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
96.8%
9,303 votes · R+93.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Rutherford B. Hayes, 1876 · 95.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,323votes
11.4% of the vote · R+76.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,224 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
19,162votes
88.5% of the vote · R+78.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 18,403 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+64.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +51.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+116.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+93.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +87.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RFoy GadberryState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 31.6%4,000 | 68.4%8,643 | 12,643 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+76.5, against R+80.4 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 41.8% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.0 points in 1888 and a Republican high of 93.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.5 points.
A population of 43,934, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,288 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31 and State House District 50.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 31
Oklahoma
97.7twin score
2008–2020 trajectory
State House District 50
Alabama
97.6twin score
2008–2020 trajectory
State House District 28
Mississippi
97.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisiana 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/22015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Louisiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Louisiana 15th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Louisiana 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisiana 15th State House District voted Republican by 76.5 points (R+76.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,392 votes cast, 2,323 went Democratic and 17,928 went Republican.
When did Louisiana 15th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisiana 15th State House District voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Louisiana 15th State House District?
Louisiana 15th State House District has a population of 43,934 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisiana 15th State House District?
Median household income in Louisiana 15th State House District is $72,288 — below the national median of $80,734. The Louisiana state median is $60,756.
What is the political history of Louisiana 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Louisiana 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.