- Lead
- 3,285
- Total
- 18,596
- vs nation
- R+16.2
Iowa 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,123
- Total
- 18,550
- vs nation
- R+15.9
- Lead
- 1,816
- Total
- 17,218
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Lead
- 1,094
- Total
- 17,024
- vs nation
- D+2.6
- Lead
- 1,263
- Total
- 16,517
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 84
- Total
- 16,523
- vs nation
- D+3.0
- Lead
- 548
- Total
- 14,253
- vs nation
- D+3.3
- Lead
- 2,272
- Total
- 13,717
- vs nation
- D+8.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 32,0342024 5-year
- Population density
- 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 594 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,7002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 60, IA · twin score 89.4
presidential history
Party record book
Iowa 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.8%
8,334 votes · D+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 60.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.8%
7,631 votes · R+49.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 71.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
8,857votes
52.0% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 8,719 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,751votes
57.8% of the vote · R+17.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,099 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+29.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.1 · U.S. R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +21.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+27.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.1 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +25.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+17.7, this district of roughly 32,000 residents reflects the durable Republican lean found across Iowa's rural and small-town constituencies, where agricultural identity and cultural conservatism shape voting patterns consistently.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.7 points.
A population of 32,034, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,700 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 60 and State House District 57.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Iowa 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/19048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.