- Lead
- 22,765
- Total
- 55,582
- vs nation
- D+42.4
Illinois 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 25,151
- Total
- 59,138
- vs nation
- D+38.1
- Lead
- 20,859
- Total
- 53,959
- vs nation
- D+36.6
- Lead
- 14,728
- Total
- 49,779
- vs nation
- D+25.7
- Lead
- 20,935
- Total
- 53,093
- vs nation
- D+32.2
- Lead
- 9,622
- Total
- 46,866
- vs nation
- D+23.0
- Lead
- 7,997
- Total
- 41,154
- vs nation
- D+18.9
- Lead
- 7,300
- Total
- 35,221
- vs nation
- D+12.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 108,3982024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,850 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 58.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $171,4122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 148, PA · twin score 91.9
presidential history
Party record book
Illinois 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
70.4%
41,625 votes · D+42.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 69.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
73.2%
3,058 votes · R+53.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 66.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,625votes
70.4% of the vote · D+42.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 38,815 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
18,451votes
39.4% of the vote · D+20.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 17,187 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+42.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +38.1 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+26.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.1 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +25.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.9%27,788 | 40.1%18,582 | 46,370 |
| 2020 | D | 60.2%28,612 | 39.8%18,882 | 47,494 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+41.0, this Chicago-area district ranks among the state's most heavily one-sided, reflecting the dense urban concentration that defines its electorate and makes competitive general elections rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 53.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.0 points.
A population of 108,398, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $171,412 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 148 and 13th Middlesex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Illinois 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/17058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.