- Lead
- 28,916
- Total
- 41,995
- vs nation
- D+70.3
Illinois 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 37,423
- Total
- 48,940
- vs nation
- D+72.0
- Lead
- 37,656
- Total
- 47,638
- vs nation
- D+77.0
- Lead
- 34,179
- Total
- 42,985
- vs nation
- D+75.7
- Lead
- 38,017
- Total
- 46,449
- vs nation
- D+74.6
- Lead
- 32,107
- Total
- 42,134
- vs nation
- D+78.7
- Lead
- 28,517
- Total
- 38,388
- vs nation
- D+73.8
- Lead
- 25,852
- Total
- 35,822
- vs nation
- D+63.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+68.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 108,6472024 5-year
- Population density
- 11,939 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,7542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 41.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+0.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 9, IL · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Illinois 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
90.4%
41,994 votes · D+81.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 88.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
44.3%
5,160 votes · R+0.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 36.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42,689votes
87.2% of the vote · D+76.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41,994 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
10,717votes
29.9% of the vote · D+40.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 10,235 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+78.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+76.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +77.0 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−12.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+31.8 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · −25.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 73.1%30,474 | 26.9%11,195 | 41,669 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+68.9, this Chicago-area district ranks among the most lopsided in the state, reflecting a dense, heavily urban electorate where competitive general elections are essentially nonexistent.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 0.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.9 points.
A population of 108,647, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,754 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 9 and State House District 5.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Illinois 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/17010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.