- Lead
- 1,023
- Total
- 26,668
- vs nation
- D+5.3
Georgia 154th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,090
- Total
- 27,490
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 2,355
- Total
- 25,680
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Lead
- 4,941
- Total
- 28,058
- vs nation
- D+13.8
- Lead
- 4,624
- Total
- 28,525
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Lead
- 2,090
- Total
- 24,444
- vs nation
- D+11.0
- Lead
- 3,272
- Total
- 21,380
- vs nation
- D+14.8
- Lead
- 6,015
- Total
- 19,866
- vs nation
- D+21.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,9942024 5-year
- Population density
- 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,549 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $44,9892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 39.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 55.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 128, GA · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Georgia 154th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1932–2024 · 24 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
97.7%
5,899 votes · D+96.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 95.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.8%
10,965 votes · R+47.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 67.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,505votes
57.9% of the vote · D+16.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 16,407 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,796votes
48.0% of the vote · D+3.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,622 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+84.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.3 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · +81.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+58.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +24.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 52.6%13,724 | 47.4%12,345 | 26,069 |
| 2020 | D | 55.0%14,652 | 45.0%12,003 | 26,655 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+3.8, District 154 sits firmly in swing territory, making it a reliable bellwether for how Georgia's suburban voters are trending cycle over cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 47.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.8 points.
A population of 59,994, a 40% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,989 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 128 and State House District 84.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Georgia 154th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/13154/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.