- Lead
- 15,149
- Total
- 96,772
- vs nation
- R+14.2
Florida 115th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,556
- Total
- 101,475
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Lead
- 10,033
- Total
- 85,785
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Lead
- 3,974
- Total
- 77,561
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Lead
- 2,362
- Total
- 77,565
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Lead
- 9,138
- Total
- 70,917
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Lead
- 7,147
- Total
- 56,779
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Lead
- 2,599
- Total
- 2,599
- vs nation
- R+8.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 183,3862024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,805 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 48.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $95,7372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 23.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 66.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 114, FL · twin score 94.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 115th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
54.4%
46,640 votes · D+11.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 52.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57.3%
55,487 votes · R+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 56.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
48,689votes
48.0% of the vote · R+3.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 46,640 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
55,487votes
57.3% of the vote · R+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 52,245 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+9.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +1.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+14.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +13.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 115 delivered an 15.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the area's blend of retiree-heavy communities and exurban growth that has reinforced the region's rightward tilt over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.7 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 15.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.7 points.
A population of 183,386, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,737 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 114 and State House District 119.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 115th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.