- Lead
- 33,197
- Total
- 74,408
- vs nation
- D+46.1
Florida 99th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 47,369
- Total
- 84,251
- vs nation
- D+51.8
- Lead
- 45,765
- Total
- 76,608
- vs nation
- D+57.6
- Lead
- 41,693
- Total
- 69,692
- vs nation
- D+56.0
- Lead
- 40,313
- Total
- 67,606
- vs nation
- D+52.4
- Lead
- 35,729
- Total
- 63,830
- vs nation
- D+58.4
- Lead
- 32,331
- Total
- 53,185
- vs nation
- D+60.3
- Lead
- 26,819
- Total
- 46,529
- vs nation
- D+49.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,7902024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,087 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 29.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,7052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 51.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 97, FL · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 99th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
79.7%
42,393 votes · D+60.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 79.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27.2%
20,240 votes · D+44.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 21.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
65,602votes
77.9% of the vote · D+56.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 60,458 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,240votes
27.2% of the vote · D+44.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,233 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+60.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +58.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−46.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+44.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −51.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.7%32,573 | 44.3%25,913 | 58,486 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of under one point, this central Florida district sits at the competitive edge of statewide trends, making it a reliable bellwether for shifts in the broader suburban coalition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 15.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.6 points.
A population of 180,790, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,705 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 97 and State House District 98.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 99th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.