- Lead
- 2,907
- Total
- 11,996
- vs nation
- R+22.8
Connecticut 44th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,178
- Total
- 11,702
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Lead
- 2,316
- Total
- 9,885
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Lead
- 316
- Total
- 8,701
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Lead
- 218
- Total
- 9,446
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 980
- Total
- 9,162
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Lead
- 74
- Total
- 8,171
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 520
- Total
- 8,009
- vs nation
- R+2.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,6642024 5-year
- Population density
- 323 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 76.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,8562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 47, CT · twin score 91.3
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.0%
3,958 votes · D+32.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 48.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
78.6%
1,209 votes · R+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 73.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
4,619votes
39.5% of the vote · R+18.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,517 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,363votes
61.4% of the vote · R+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,797 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+9.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +0.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+53.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +40.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 53.3%5,783 | 46.7%5,075 | 10,858 |
| 2018 | D | 57.9%4,692 | 42.1%3,408 | 8,100 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+24.2, this district sits well outside Connecticut's competitive middle, drawing its base from lower-density communities that have voted consistently right of the state average for over a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.2 points.
A population of 24,664, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,856 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 47 and State House District 51.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.