- Lead
- 3,365
- Total
- 7,776
- vs nation
- D+44.7
Connecticut 39th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,112
- Total
- 7,524
- vs nation
- D+50.2
- Lead
- 3,791
- Total
- 7,149
- vs nation
- D+50.9
- Lead
- 4,412
- Total
- 7,084
- vs nation
- D+58.4
- Lead
- 5,008
- Total
- 7,779
- vs nation
- D+57.1
- Lead
- 4,211
- Total
- 7,222
- vs nation
- D+60.8
- Lead
- 3,955
- Total
- 6,642
- vs nation
- D+59.0
- Lead
- 3,688
- Total
- 6,343
- vs nation
- D+49.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+43.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,0432024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,591 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,9542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 37.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11, CT · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 39th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
87.5%
4,628 votes · D+75.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 81.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
36.6%
488 votes · D+23.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 36.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,351votes
81.6% of the vote · D+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,748 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,125votes
27.3% of the vote · D+43.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,751 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+60.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.3 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +59.0 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−26.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+46.1 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · −30.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+43.3, this district ranks among the most lopsided in the state, suggesting a dense, urbanized constituency where competitive general elections are rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.3 points.
A population of 24,043, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,954 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 128.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 39th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.