- Lead
- 4,199
- Total
- 6,635
- vs nation
- D+64.8
Connecticut 92nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,171
- Total
- 9,138
- vs nation
- D+74.0
- Lead
- 6,843
- Total
- 8,630
- vs nation
- D+77.2
- Lead
- 7,426
- Total
- 8,840
- vs nation
- D+80.1
- Lead
- 7,924
- Total
- 9,532
- vs nation
- D+75.9
- Lead
- 6,582
- Total
- 8,287
- vs nation
- D+81.9
- Lead
- 6,714
- Total
- 8,346
- vs nation
- D+79.9
- Lead
- 5,817
- Total
- 7,889
- vs nation
- D+68.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+63.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,4112024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,853 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,6322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 39.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, CT · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 92nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
94.5%
8,093 votes · D+89.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 92.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
18.1%
917 votes · D+63.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 17.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,640votes
90.6% of the vote · D+83.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 8,104 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,155votes
17.4% of the vote · D+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,006 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+96.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.8 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +88.5 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−43.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+63.2 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · −54.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 58.3%5,493 | 41.7%3,927 | 9,420 |
| 2018 | D | 60.8%5,022 | 39.2%3,233 | 8,255 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+63.3, this New Haven-area district ranks among the most heavily one-sided state house seats in Connecticut, reflecting dense urban concentration and a highly homogeneous partisan electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 15.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.3 points.
A population of 23,411, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,632 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 93.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 92nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09092/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.