- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 15,036
- vs nation
- D+3.2
Arkansas 70th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 651
- Total
- 15,875
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Lead
- 1,826
- Total
- 14,522
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Lead
- 3,053
- Total
- 15,253
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Lead
- 3,059
- Total
- 15,486
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Lead
- 3,094
- Total
- 14,702
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Lead
- 2,566
- Total
- 12,154
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Lead
- 680
- Total
- 11,763
- vs nation
- R+14.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,4272024 5-year
- Population density
- 625 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 48.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,4292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 71, AR · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 70th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
79.1%
787 votes · D+58.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 72.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
76.2%
7,416 votes · R+52.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
7,435votes
49.4% of the vote · D+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,413 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
10,079votes
72.0% of the vote · R+45.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 9,161 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
+34.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.4 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +29.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+50.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.9 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +32.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.2%6,479 | 40.8%4,468 | 10,947 |
| 2020 | D | 59.8%7,712 | 40.2%5,187 | 12,899 |
Arkansas House District 70 posted a D+1.7 presidential margin in 2024, making it one of the few state legislative districts where statewide Republican dominance hasn't fully taken hold. Its roughly 30,000 residents represent a genuine swing constituency worth watching in legislative cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.7 points.
A population of 30,427, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,429 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 71 and State House District 67.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 70th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05070/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.