- Lead
- 5,475
- Total
- 15,499
- vs nation
- R+33.9
Arkansas 8th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,777
- Total
- 14,122
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Lead
- 4,677
- Total
- 11,009
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Lead
- 4,403
- Total
- 9,508
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Lead
- 3,913
- Total
- 9,102
- vs nation
- R+50.3
- Lead
- 3,627
- Total
- 8,179
- vs nation
- R+41.9
- Lead
- 2,527
- Total
- 6,381
- vs nation
- R+40.1
- Lead
- 1,138
- Total
- 5,335
- vs nation
- R+29.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,0272024 5-year
- Population density
- 412 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 72.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,8712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 23, GA · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 8th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
79.5%
392 votes · D+60.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 76.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
80.0%
1,831 votes · R+60.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 77.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
4,815votes
31.1% of the vote · R+35.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 4,476 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,290votes
66.4% of the vote · R+35.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,253 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+66.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +44.1 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+50.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.0 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +50.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%3,742 | 68.6%8,171 | 11,913 |
| 2020 | R | 32.8%3,708 | 67.2%7,605 | 11,313 |
With a population just over 30,000 and a 2024 presidential margin of R+35.3, this Arkansas House district sits firmly in the state's Republican stronghold, leaving little competitive space in general elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.3 points.
A population of 30,027, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,871 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 23 and State House District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 8th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05008/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.