Akashic

state house district

Alaska 15th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2016–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 2016 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German16.0%14.2%12.5%

English11.7%10.0%9.5%

Irish10.9%9.5%9.4%

American4.1%3.6%5.3%

Italian3.3%2.5%4.8%

Norwegian3.0%3.0%—

Swedish2.6%1.2%—

Scottish2.3%2.1%1.3%

Filipino5.4%3.5%0.9%

Hmong1.9%0.7%—

Korean1.1%0.5%0.4%

Chinese0.6%0.3%1.3%

Asian Indian0.4%0.2%1.4%

Japanese0.4%0.2%0.2%

Laotian0.4%——

Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%

Samoan5.8%0.9%—

Native Hawaiian0.9%0.2%—

Tongan0.6%——

Mexican3.1%3.9%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.9%0.9%1.8%

Dominican0.4%0.3%0.7%

Cuban0.3%0.2%0.7%

Colombian0.3%0.2%0.4%

Spaniard0.3%0.3%—

Spanish0.3%0.4%—

African American†1.9%2.1%9.9%

Sudanese0.2%0.2%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Median age	36.3	36	39.1
Age 18–24	9.8%	9.3%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	12.9%	13.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Median household income	$124,774	$92,788	$84,427
Poverty rate	3.7%	10.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	38.7%	31.5%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Owner-occupied homes	78.2%	66.8%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	21.8%	33.2%	34.8%
Median home value	$458,000	$352,900	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,621	$1,419	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.3%	44.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	7.9%	17.6%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Mean commute	20.6 min	19.4 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	4.2%	5.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	71.8%	65.0%	68.8%
Takes public transit	2.0%	1.0%	3.2%
Works from home	13.7%	9.7%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	17.2%	15.1%	22.3%
Spanish	4.6%	3.2%	13.6%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)	3.2%	2.5%	0.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	4.2%	2.2%	1.1%
Other languages	1.3%	3.9%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Catholic	—	5.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	18.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	64.8%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AK HD 15	Alaska	United States
Foreign-born residents	8.7%	7.7%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	7.4%	4.8%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.3%	2.9%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	10.7%	10.7%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.365	0.433	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic47.0%4,374TrumpRepublican49.4%4,596OtherAll other candidates3.6%337

R+2.4

Lead: 222
Total: 9,307
vs nation: R+0.9

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

BidenDemocratic47.3%4,683TrumpRepublican49.4%4,895OtherAll other candidates3.3%325

R+2.1

Lead: 212
Total: 9,903
vs nation: R+6.6

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

ClintonDemocratic39.7%3,478TrumpRepublican49.6%4,349OtherAll other candidates10.7%942

R+9.9

Lead: 871
Total: 8,769
vs nation: R+12.0

modeled Census-place estimatereview required

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+2.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 18,1682024 5-year
Population density: 3,244 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 5.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $124,7742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 58.5%2024 5-year
Black: 2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin: R+9.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 11, AK · twin score 98.6

current representation

Current officeholders

RMia CostelloState House · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

With a 2024 presidential margin of just R+2.5, this Anchorage-area district sits near the center of Alaska's partisan divide, making it a consistent target for both parties in state legislative cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 9.9 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 2.4 points.

A population of 18,168, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,774 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 10.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 11

Alaska

98.6twin score

elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin

State House District 10

Alaska

97.8twin score

elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin

State House District 12

Alaska

95.6twin score

elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin≠ % Asian

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Alaska 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/02015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Alaska 15th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Alaska 15th State House District voted Republican by 2.4 points (R+2.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,307 votes cast, 4,374 went Democratic and 4,596 went Republican.

How many people live in Alaska 15th State House District?

Alaska 15th State House District has a population of 18,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Alaska 15th State House District?

Median household income in Alaska 15th State House District is $124,774 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.

What is the political history of Alaska 15th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Alaska 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Median age

36.3

39.1

Age 18–24

9.8%

9.3%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

12.9%

13.9%

17.2%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Median household income

$124,774

$92,788

$84,427

Poverty rate

3.7%

10.1%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

38.7%

31.5%

35.6%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Owner-occupied homes

78.2%

66.8%

65.2%

Renter-occupied homes

21.8%

33.2%

34.8%

Median home value

$458,000

$352,900

$332,700

Median gross rent (monthly)

$1,621

$1,419

$1,413

Renters paying 30%+ of income

43.3%

44.6%

51.1%

Vacant housing units

7.9%

17.6%

10.1%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Mean commute

20.6 min

19.4 min

26.4 min

Commutes 60 minutes or more

4.2%

5.1%

8.6%

Drives alone to work

71.8%

65.0%

68.8%

Takes public transit

2.0%

1.0%

3.2%

Works from home

13.7%

9.7%

15.1%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

17.2%

15.1%

22.3%

Spanish

4.6%

3.2%

13.6%

Tagalog (incl. Filipino)

3.2%

2.5%

0.6%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

4.2%

2.2%

1.1%

Other languages

1.3%

3.9%

0.8%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Catholic

—

5.5%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

—

18.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

—

64.8%

51.5%

Measure

AK HD 15

Alaska

United States

Foreign-born residents

8.7%

7.7%

14.1%

Naturalized citizens

7.4%

4.8%

7.4%

Not U.S. citizens

1.3%

2.9%

6.8%

Veterans (18+)

10.7%

6.2%

Income inequality (Gini)

0.365

0.433

0.483

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+2.4MIT Election Lab

Population

18,1682024 5-year

Population density

3,244 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line

Land area

5.6 sq miTIGER/Line

Median household income

$124,7742024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

58.5%2024 5-year

Black

2.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

6.5%2024 5-year

Peak Republican margin

R+9.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab

Most similar

State House District 11, AK · twin score 98.6

Frequently asked questions

How did Alaska 15th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Alaska 15th State House District voted Republican by 2.4 points (R+2.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,307 votes cast, 4,374 went Democratic and 4,596 went Republican.

How many people live in Alaska 15th State House District?

Alaska 15th State House District has a population of 18,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Alaska 15th State House District?

Median household income in Alaska 15th State House District is $124,774 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.

What is the political history of Alaska 15th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Alaska 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.