Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Pelham Bay-Country Club-City IslandThe boundary of Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+2.7).Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island · D+2.7
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic50.8%5,041TrumpRepublican48.1%4,770OtherAll other candidates1.1%111
D+2.7
Lead
271
Total
9,922
vs nation
D+4.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic56.8%6,387TrumpRepublican42.0%4,715OtherAll other candidates1.2%133
D+14.9
Lead
1,672
Total
11,235
vs nation
D+10.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic55.3%5,273TrumpRepublican41.4%3,952OtherAll other candidates3.3%318
D+13.8
Lead
1,321
Total
9,543
vs nation
D+11.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.5%4,777RomneyRepublican40.5%3,245OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+19.1
Lead
1,532
Total
8,022
vs nation
D+15.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic53.6%4,702McCainRepublican45.5%3,999OtherAll other candidates0.9%79
D+8.0
Lead
703
Total
8,780
vs nation
D+0.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic41.6%3,947BushRepublican57.5%5,456OtherAll other candidates0.9%83
R+15.9
Lead
1,509
Total
9,486
vs nation
R+13.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2.7MIT Election Lab
Population
29,1232020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
22,993 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
1.3 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
51.2%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
7.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
40.7%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+19.1 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+15.9 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Glendale, NY · twin score 80.9

presidential history

Party record book

Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

59.5%

4,777 votes · D+19.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 56.8%

Republican

George W. Bush2004

57.5%

5,456 votes · R+15.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 48.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

6,387votes

56.8% of the vote · D+14.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 5,273 votes

Republican

George W. Bush2004

5,456votes

57.5% of the vote · R+15.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,770 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

+15.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+19.1 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +11.8 pts

Republican

George W. Bush2004

+13.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+15.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · −0.7 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island voted Democratic by 2.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 18.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Democratic—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island: Democratic by 2.7 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
29,123 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 2.7 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Glendale
New York
80.9twin score
Similarity 0.81
Morris Park
New York
80.3twin score
Similarity 0.80
Garfield Ridge
Illinois
73.0twin score
Similarity 0.73

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/pelham-bay-country-club-city-island/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York voted Democratic by 2.7 points (D+2.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 9,922 votes cast, 5,041 went Democratic and 4,770 went Republican.
When did Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York?
Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York has a population of 29,123 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York?
Median household income in Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Pelham Bay-Country Club-City Island, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.