Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

New Dorp-Midland Beach, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for New Dorp-Midland BeachThe boundary of New Dorp-Midland Beach, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (R+43.5).New Dorp-Midland Beach · R+43.5
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the New York City 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic27.3%3,195TrumpRepublican70.9%8,290OtherAll other candidates1.8%215
R+43.5
Lead
5,095
Total
11,700
vs nation
R+42.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic33.0%4,183TrumpRepublican65.7%8,323OtherAll other candidates1.2%157
R+32.7
Lead
4,140
Total
12,663
vs nation
R+37.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic31.2%3,209TrumpRepublican65.5%6,737OtherAll other candidates3.2%334
R+34.3
Lead
3,528
Total
10,280
vs nation
R+36.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic41.4%3,190RomneyRepublican58.6%4,514OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+17.2
Lead
1,324
Total
7,704
vs nation
R+21.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic39.3%3,808McCainRepublican59.7%5,783OtherAll other candidates0.9%88
R+20.4
Lead
1,975
Total
9,679
vs nation
R+27.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic34.9%3,304BushRepublican64.2%6,086OtherAll other candidates0.9%87
R+29.4
Lead
2,782
Total
9,477
vs nation
R+26.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+43.5MIT Election Lab
Population
29,0832020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
13,040 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · NYC Department of City Planning
Land area
2.2 sq miNYC Department of City Planning
Median household income
$80,4832024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
68.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
1.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
14.5%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Republican margin
R+43.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Brighton Beach, NY · twin score 86.4

presidential history

Party record book

New Dorp-Midland Beach, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

41.4%

3,190 votes · R+17.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 39.3%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

70.9%

8,290 votes · R+43.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

4,183votes

33.0% of the vote · R+32.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,808 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

8,323votes

65.7% of the vote · R+32.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 8,290 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

−21.0pts D vs U.S.

Place R+17.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −26.9 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

+42.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+43.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +37.1 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for New Dorp-Midland Beach, NY, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

New Dorp-Midland Beach voted Republican by 43.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 14.2 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Neighborhood Tabulation Area system (2020 / DCP release 26b). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

New Dorp-Midland Beach: Republican by 43.5 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
NYC 2020 NTAs · NYC Department of City Planning
2020 population
29,083 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Republican by 43.5 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Brighton Beach
New York
86.4twin score
Similarity 0.86
Arden Heights-Rossville
New York
83.5twin score
Similarity 0.83
Westerleigh-Castleton Corners
New York
82.8twin score
Similarity 0.83

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/new-york/new-dorp-midland-beach/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York voted Republican by 43.5 points (R+43.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,700 votes cast, 3,195 went Democratic and 8,290 went Republican.
How many people live in New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York?
New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York has a population of 29,083 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York?
Median household income in New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York is $80,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Dorp-Midland Beach, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.