Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Gage Park, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Gage ParkThe boundary of Gage Park, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+38.9).Gage Park · D+38.9
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the Chicago Community Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic68.6%4,546TrumpRepublican29.7%1,969OtherAll other candidates1.7%114
D+38.9
Lead
2,577
Total
6,629
vs nation
D+40.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic85.7%7,144TrumpRepublican12.7%1,060OtherAll other candidates1.5%129
D+73.0
Lead
6,084
Total
8,333
vs nation
D+68.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic89.7%7,452TrumpRepublican6.4%535OtherAll other candidates3.9%323
D+83.2
Lead
6,917
Total
8,310
vs nation
D+81.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic91.5%5,686RomneyRepublican8.5%531OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+82.9
Lead
5,155
Total
6,217
vs nation
D+79.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic87.6%6,075McCainRepublican11.2%774OtherAll other candidates1.3%87
D+76.4
Lead
5,301
Total
6,936
vs nation
D+69.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic85.1%5,357BushRepublican13.7%863OtherAll other candidates1.1%72
D+71.4
Lead
4,494
Total
6,292
vs nation
D+73.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+38.9MIT Election Lab
Population
39,5402020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
17,987 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · City of Chicago
Land area
2.2 sq miCity of Chicago
Median household income
$77,9022024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
14.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
3.9%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
91.4%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+83.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Brighton Park, IL · twin score 76.1

presidential history

Party record book

Gage Park, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2012

91.5%

5,686 votes · D+82.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 89.7%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

29.7%

1,969 votes · D+38.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 13.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

7,452votes

89.7% of the vote · D+83.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,144 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

1,969votes

29.7% of the vote · D+38.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,060 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Hillary Clinton2016

+81.1pts D vs U.S.

Place D+83.2 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +79.1 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2024

−40.3pts R vs U.S.

Place D+38.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −68.6 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Gage Park, IL, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Gage Park voted Democratic by 38.9 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 32.5 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Community Area system (Current boundaries, source update 2025-04-22). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Gage Park: Democratic by 38.9 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
Chicago Community Areas · City of Chicago
2020 population
39,540 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 38.9 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Brighton Park
Illinois
76.1twin score
Similarity 0.76
Hermosa
Illinois
75.9twin score
Similarity 0.76
Kingsbridge Heights-Van Cortlandt Village
New York
74.8twin score
Similarity 0.75

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gage Park, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/chicago/gage-park/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions

How did Gage Park, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Gage Park, Illinois voted Democratic by 38.9 points (D+38.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 6,629 votes cast, 4,546 went Democratic and 1,969 went Republican.
How many people live in Gage Park, Illinois?
Gage Park, Illinois has a population of 39,540 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gage Park, Illinois?
Median household income in Gage Park, Illinois is $77,902 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Gage Park, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Gage Park, Illinois from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.