Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
neighborhood

Avalon Park, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

2004–2024 · D minus R
Full record · 2004 → 2024
2024 presidential vote for Avalon ParkThe boundary of Avalon Park, filled by its 2024 presidential vote (D+86.2).Avalon Park · D+86.2
2024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The boundary is the Chicago Community Areas. Results for 2004–2024 are modeled from precinct returns assigned through 2020 Census blocks, not certified neighborhood returns.

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on Census boundaries

HarrisDemocratic92.5%4,378TrumpRepublican6.3%297OtherAll other candidates1.2%57
D+86.2
Lead
4,081
Total
4,732
vs nation
D+87.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
BidenDemocratic95.4%5,159TrumpRepublican3.3%181OtherAll other candidates1.3%68
D+92.0
Lead
4,978
Total
5,408
vs nation
D+87.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic96.6%5,563TrumpRepublican1.6%91OtherAll other candidates1.8%106
D+95.0
Lead
5,457
Total
5,760
vs nation
D+92.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic99.7%6,255RomneyRepublican0.3%16OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+99.5
Lead
6,239
Total
6,271
vs nation
D+95.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic99.8%7,053McCainRepublican<0.1%5OtherAll other candidates<0.1%6
D+99.8
Lead
7,047
Total
7,064
vs nation
D+92.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic99.9%6,231BushRepublican<0.1%5OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+99.8
Lead
6,226
Total
6,236
vs nation
D+102.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Modeled estimate from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal pointRelative-to-nation = Place margin minus national margin for the same office and year.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+86.2MIT Election Lab
Population
9,4582020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
Population density
7,566 / sq mi2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks · City of Chicago
Land area
1.3 sq miCity of Chicago
Median household income
$77,9022024 ACS 5-year parent-city context
White alone
0.6%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Black alone
95.3%2020 Census PL 94-171 P1
Hispanic / Latino (any race)
2.0%2020 Census PL 94-171 P2
Peak Democratic margin
D+99.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Most similar
Riverdale, IL · twin score 86.4

presidential history

Party record book

Avalon Park, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles

Highest vote share

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

99.9%

6,231 votes · D+99.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 99.8%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

6.3%

297 votes · D+86.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

7,053votes

99.8% of the vote · D+99.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 6,255 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

297votes

6.3% of the vote · D+86.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 181 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John Kerry2004

+102.3pts D vs U.S.

Place D+99.8 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +95.6 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

−87.6pts R vs U.S.

Place D+92.0 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · −87.7 pts

Records rank each party’s presidential nominees over the returns for Avalon Park, IL, 2004–2024. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024); national margins from the same series.Vote share is the nominee’s votes over the candidate-vote total; “relative to the U.S.” subtracts the national margin from this Place’s margin (reversed for the Republican side, so the two are exactly symmetric). Ranking uses full precision and an exact tie goes to the more recent cycle.At least one record above sits on a modeled cycle — precinct returns allocated to this boundary, marked in place and estimated rather than certified.

What the record shows

Avalon Park voted Democratic by 86.2 points in the modeled 2024 presidential estimate. Its two-party direction moved 13.6 points toward Republicans or Democrats in net terms—specifically Republican—between 2004 and 2024.

The boundary is the city-sourced Community Area system (Current boundaries, source update 2025-04-22). Election totals are estimated from precinct returns disaggregated to 2020 Census blocks and assigned by block internal point. Detailed age, income, poverty, education, and language panels use the parent city's 2024 ACS profile as context; population and headline race figures use 2020 Census blocks inside this boundary.

Avalon Park: Democratic by 86.2 points in the modeled 2024 presidential result.
Boundary system
Chicago Community Areas · City of Chicago
2020 population
9,458 (2020) · 2020 Census PL 94-171 blocks
2024 presidential estimate
Democratic by 86.2 points (2024) · Akashic block-disaggregated presidential model
Political twins — neighborhoods

The neighborhoods whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Riverdale
Illinois
86.4twin score
Similarity 0.86
Washington Park
Illinois
85.8twin score
Similarity 0.86
Calumet Heights
Illinois
84.4twin score
Similarity 0.84

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Avalon Park, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/neighborhood/chicago/avalon-park/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Presidentevery cycleUS Senateevery cycleUS Houseevery cycleGovernorevery cycle

Frequently asked questions

How did Avalon Park, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Avalon Park, Illinois voted Democratic by 86.2 points (D+86.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,732 votes cast, 4,378 went Democratic and 297 went Republican.
How many people live in Avalon Park, Illinois?
Avalon Park, Illinois has a population of 9,458 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Avalon Park, Illinois?
Median household income in Avalon Park, Illinois is $77,902 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Avalon Park, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Avalon Park, Illinois from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.