Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Grand Junction-Montrose
presidential margin
2008R+29.62012R+33.32016R+37.42020R+29.82024R+26.1
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+26.1
2024
median income$73,325U.S. $80,734 · CO $95,470
median age42.3U.S. 39.1 · CO 37.9
poverty rate10.9%U.S. 12.5% · CO 9.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.5%U.S. 35.6% · CO 45.5%
non-english8.4%U.S. 22.3% · CO 16.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German20.7%
English15.1%
Irish11.7%
Mexican11.1%
Spanish1.4%
Spaniard0.7%
Navajo0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline2.4%
Other Christian1.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado

Akashic
Grand Junction-MontroseTrumpR+26.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Grand Junction-Montrose, COA map of the constituent counties of Grand Junction-Montrose, CO, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Montrose County, CO · R+32.6Mesa County, CO · R+24.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican61.9%72,543
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.8%41,927
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent2.4%2,776
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Grand Junction-Montrose, CO — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Mesa County, CORepublicanR+24.3
Montrose County, CORepublicanR+32.6
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
35.8%Harris41,927
61.9%Trump72,543
2.4%Kennedy2,776
−26.1%
117,246
R
33.9%Biden39,220
63.8%Trump73,658
2.3%Jorgensen2,657
−29.8%
115,535
R
27.5%Clinton27,195
64.9%Trump64,161
7.6%Johnson7,484
−37.4%
98,840
R
32.2%Obama29,984
65.6%Romney61,024
2.2%Johnson2,069
−33.3%
93,077
R
34.4%Obama30,503
63.9%McCain56,777
1.7%Nader1,504
−29.6%
88,784
R
31.2%Kerry24,340
67.5%Bush52,757
1.3%Nader1,007
−36.4%
78,104
R
29.9%Gore19,506
63.8%Bush41,662
6.3%Nader4,101
−33.9%
65,269
R
35.9%Clinton21,133
53.5%Dole31,491
10.6%Perot6,227
−17.6%
58,851
R
33.8%Clinton18,875
41.3%Bush23,016
24.9%Perot13,899
−7.4%
55,790
R
38.4%Dukakis18,120
59.7%Bush28,162
1.8%Paul866
−21.3%
47,148
R
28.9%Mondale12,802
69.8%Reagan30,898
1.2%Bergland547
−40.9%
44,247
R
22.9%Carter9,781
68.8%Reagan29,371
8.3%Anderson3,564
−45.9%
42,716
R
33.6%Carter11,971
63.8%Ford22,762
2.6%McCarthy939
−30.3%
35,672
R
27.7%McGovern8,228
67.7%Nixon20,098
4.5%Schmitz1,346
−40.0%
29,672
R
39.4%Humphrey11,169
50.4%Nixon14,292
10.3%Wallace2,922
−11.0%
28,383
D
60.2%Johnson16,725
39.6%Goldwater10,995
0.3%Hass71
+20.6%
27,791
R
41.1%Kennedy11,933
58.7%Nixon17,055
0.2%Byrd69
−17.6%
29,057
R
37.1%Stevenson10,028
62.6%Eisenhower16,923
0.3%Andrews79
−25.5%
27,030
R
35.4%Stevenson8,920
64.1%Eisenhower16,162
0.5%Hallinan134
−28.7%
25,216
D
53.9%Truman10,945
44.6%Dewey9,059
1.5%Thurmond297
+9.3%
20,301
R
48.5%Roosevelt9,128
51.0%Dewey9,605
0.5%Thomas102
−2.5%
18,835
R
49.2%Roosevelt10,707
49.6%Willkie10,793
1.2%Thomas267
−0.4%
21,767
D
60.4%Roosevelt10,762
33.1%Landon5,902
6.5%Lemke1,160
+27.3%
17,824
D
55.2%Roosevelt9,198
38.3%Hoover6,380
6.5%Thomas1,087
+16.9%
16,665
R
32.1%Smith4,520
66.2%Hoover9,319
1.7%Thomas234
−34.1%
14,073
R
27.0%Davis3,627
45.6%Coolidge6,130
27.4%La Follette3,678
−18.6%
13,435
R
41.1%Cox4,660
51.6%Harding5,846
7.3%Debs823
−10.5%
11,329
D
60.2%Wilson6,965
30.6%Hughes3,538
9.3%Benson1,071
+29.6%
11,574
O
36.4%Wilson4,211
13.9%Taft1,607
49.7%Roosevelt5,758
Roosevelt +13.4
11,576
D
43.4%Bryan4,285
42.9%Taft4,242
13.7%Debs1,350
+0.4%
9,877
R
34.0%Parker2,477
56.1%Roosevelt4,089
10.0%Debs728
−22.1%
7,294
D
56.0%Bryan3,006
36.8%McKinley1,975
7.2%Woolley387
+19.2%
5,368
D
82.2%Bryan3,722
14.4%McKinley651
3.5%Palmer157
+67.8%
4,530
O
0.0%Cleveland0
39.5%Harrison830
60.5%Weaver1,270
Weaver +21.0
2,100
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −26.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−26.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−39.5%
1896+67.8%
1900+19.2%
1904−22.1%
1908+0.4%
1912+22.5%
1916+29.6%
1920−10.5%
1924−18.6%
1928−34.1%
1932+16.9%
1936+27.3%
1940−0.4%
1944−2.5%
1948+9.3%
1952−28.7%
1956−25.5%
1960−17.6%
1964+20.6%
1968−11.0%
1972−40.0%
1976−30.3%
1980−45.9%
1984−40.9%
1988−21.3%
1992−7.4%
1996−17.6%
2000−33.9%
2004−36.4%
2008−29.6%
2012−33.3%
2016−37.4%
2020−29.8%
2024−26.1%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Grand Junction-MontroseRegistered voters by party of registration, 2016–2024. Latest total 166,809 in 2024.41.7K83.4K125.1K166.8K166.8K20162024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Grand Junction-Montrose
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2016144,75127,66863,11951,4552,509
2018149,92826,86862,61957,8302,611
2020151,75425,40161,98661,4822,885
2022158,50522,20960,01073,1253,161
2024166,80921,71160,06681,0254,007
Source: Colorado Secretary of State

Anchored by Mesa County, this oil-and-gas-dependent market consistently produces some of Colorado's widest Republican margins, making it a reliable counterweight to the Front Range in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.8 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 45.9 points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.1 points.

A population of 202,408, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,325 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Casper-Riverton and Harrisonburg.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Casper-Riverton
Wyoming
85.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Harrisonburg
Virginia
77.6twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Cheyenne-Scottsbluff
Wyoming
77.6twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/773/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Grand Junction-Montrose

counties2
Mesa CountyMontrose County

Frequently asked questions

How did Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado voted Republican by 26.1 points (R+26.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 117,246 votes cast, 41,927 went Democratic and 72,543 went Republican.
When did Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado?
Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado has a population of 202,408 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado?
Median household income in Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado is $73,325 — below the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.