- Lead
- 30,616
- Total
- 117,246
- vs nation
- R+24.6
Grand Junction-Montrose
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 34,438
- Total
- 115,535
- vs nation
- R+34.3
- Lead
- 36,966
- Total
- 98,840
- vs nation
- R+39.5
- Lead
- 31,040
- Total
- 93,077
- vs nation
- R+37.2
- Lead
- 26,274
- Total
- 88,784
- vs nation
- R+36.9
- Lead
- 28,417
- Total
- 78,104
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 22,156
- Total
- 65,269
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Lead
- 10,358
- Total
- 58,851
- vs nation
- R+26.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 202,4082024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,570 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.9 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Casper-Riverton, WY · twin score 85.5
presidential history
Party record book
Grand Junction-Montrose · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
82.2%
3,722 votes · D+67.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
69.8%
30,898 votes · R+40.9
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
41,927votes
35.8% of the vote · R+26.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 39,220 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
73,658votes
63.8% of the vote · R+29.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72,543 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+73.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.8 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +26.8 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+41.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.5 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +39.5 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.1 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 144,751 | 27,668 | 63,119 | 51,455 | 2,509 |
| 2018 | 149,928 | 26,868 | 62,619 | 57,830 | 2,611 |
| 2020 | 151,754 | 25,401 | 61,986 | 61,482 | 2,885 |
| 2022 | 158,505 | 22,209 | 60,010 | 73,125 | 3,161 |
| 2024 | 166,809 | 21,711 | 60,066 | 81,025 | 4,007 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,652 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +16,689 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −119 |
| 2012 | −570 |
| 2013 | −717 |
| 2014 | −394 |
| 2015 | +624 |
| 2016 | +2,074 |
| 2017 | +1,999 |
| 2018 | +2,069 |
| 2019 | +1,693 |
| 2021 | +2,417 |
| 2022 | +2,198 |
| 2023 | +1,745 |
| 2024 | +2,018 |
| 2025 | +1,652 |
Anchored by Mesa County, this oil-and-gas-dependent market consistently produces some of Colorado's widest Republican margins, making it a reliable counterweight to the Front Range in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.8 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 45.9 points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.1 points.
A population of 202,408, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,325 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Casper-Riverton and Harrisonburg.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grand Junction-Montrose, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/773/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.