Manchester, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +28.6% |
| 2008 | +40.1% |
| 2012 | +28.3% |
| 2016 | +31.6% |
| 2020 | +42.2% |
| 2024 | +32.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 65.0%Harris10,550 | 33.0%Trump5,358 | 2.1% | D+32.0 | R+10.2 | D+33.4 | 16,241 | |
| D | 70.2%Biden11,380 | 28.1%Trump4,547 | 1.7% | D+42.2 | D+10.5 | D+37.7 | 16,208 | |
| D | 62.9%Clinton8,951 | 31.2%Trump4,448 | 5.9% | D+31.6 | D+3.3 | D+29.5 | 14,241 | |
| D | 63.5%Obama8,149 | 35.3%Romney4,523 | 1.2% | D+28.3 | R+11.8 | D+24.4 | 12,823 | |
| D | 69.3%Obama10,538 | 29.2%McCain4,441 | 1.5% | D+40.1 | D+11.5 | D+32.8 | 15,213 | |
| D | 63.4%Kerry9,021 | 34.8%Bush4,956 | 1.8% | D+28.6 | — | D+31.0 | 14,237 |
Manchester's mix of light-industrial heritage and a growing renter population gives it a demographic profile distinct from its wealthier suburban neighbors, consistently producing turnout patterns that track closely with statewide Democratic margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.0 points.
A population of 36,759, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,267 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Milford and Brookside.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Manchester, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0944690/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.