akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 41·California

California 41st Congressional District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Inland Empire district where Latino voter growth is reshaping margins

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
456,755
2024 ACS

California 41st Congressional District, California: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
456,7552024 5-year
Median household income
$93,0742024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
37.6%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
51.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+29 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1928MIT Election Lab
R
CALVERT, KenCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: TAKANO, Mark (2021–2023), TAKANO, Mark (2019–2021), TAKANO, Mark (2017–2019), TAKANO, Mark (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.3%
83,25485,446173,317
D
+7.9%
97,36282,768183,755
D
+5.4%
68,86461,410138,466
D
+1.6%
60,64058,624122,199
D
+2.3%
59,89457,134119,284
R
−16.8%
42,16459,425102,750
R
−6.5%
37,33142,74583,133
R
−2.6%
31,06632,91472,166
D
+1.6%
30,63529,38579,291
R
−19.9%
24,53236,85261,982
R
−28.0%
18,80433,59952,925
R
−28.4%
14,12526,83944,831
R
−0.8%
17,73318,01836,590
R
−19.6%
13,19319,92434,350
R
−14.1%
11,26815,37129,055
D
+13.7%
14,84011,27126,129
R
−12.8%
9,37612,13621,612
R
−24.8%
6,28410,46116,830
R
−30.2%
4,7949,00613,941
R
−15.4%
4,2955,93510,663
R
−8.7%
3,5824,2697,915
R
−4.2%
3,6864,0137,810
D
+1.0%
3,1353,0736,285
R
−4.8%
2,3502,6015,180
R
−56.8%
8793,2434,161
R
−53.5%
2431,7732,859
R
−48.2%
5161,6812,417
R
−21.2%
8401,3732,513
O
+29.3%
54601,862
R
−32.9%
2535951,040
R
−48.5%
125486745
R
−31.3%
209429702
R
−9.8%
310380716
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D58.9%41.1%15,348,846
2022D61.1%38.9%10,843,650
2018D100.0%0.0%11,113,364
2016D100.0%0.0%12,244,170
2012D62.5%37.5%12,578,511
2010D52.2%42.2%10,000,160
2006D59.4%35.0%8,541,476
2004D57.7%37.8%12,053,295
2000D55.8%36.6%10,623,608
1998D53.1%43.0%8,311,905
1994D46.7%44.8%8,514,089
1992D47.9%43.0%10,799,703
1988R44.0%52.8%9,743,598
1986D49.3%47.9%7,398,462
1982R44.8%51.5%7,805,450
1980D56.5%37.1%8,324,012
1976R46.9%50.2%7,470,586

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.6%
English
6.1%
Irish
5.3%
Italian
3.0%
American
2.7%
French
1.2%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.6%
speak English only
Spanish35.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.4%
Other Indo-European2.1%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.1%
Other Christian
11.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Baptist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

CA-41 stretches across Riverside County's suburban and exurban communities, where a rapidly expanding Latino population has steadily widened Democratic presidential margins over the past decade, reaching 9.2 points in 2024.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-seven points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 456,755, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,074 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 41, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0641/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 41, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 41, California voted Republican by 1.3 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 173,317 votes cast, 83,254 went Democratic and 85,446 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 41, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 41, California as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 41, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 41, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 41, California?
Congressional District 41, California has a population of 456,755 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 41, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 41, California is $93,074 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 41, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 41, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.