Tucson, AZ, Arizona
Akashic| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 57.0% | 292,450 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 41.8% | 214,669 |
| Jill SteinGreen | 1.2% | 6,057 |
County-level results (1 county) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Pima County, AZ | Democratic | D+15.2 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 57.0%Harris292,450 | 41.8%Trump214,669 | 1.2%Stein6,057 | 513,176 | ||
| D | 58.4%Biden304,981 | 39.8%Trump207,758 | 1.8%Jorgensen9,435 | 522,174 | ||
| D | 53.3%Clinton224,661 | 39.7%Trump167,428 | 7.0%Johnson29,551 | 421,640 | ||
| D | 52.5%Obama201,251 | 45.6%Romney174,779 | 1.9%Johnson7,143 | 383,173 | ||
| D | 52.4%Obama206,254 | 46.4%McCain182,406 | 1.2%Barr4,768 | 393,428 | ||
| D | 52.6%Kerry193,128 | 46.6%Bush171,109 | 0.9%Badnarik3,255 | 367,492 | ||
| D | 51.3%Gore147,688 | 43.3%Bush124,579 | 5.3%Nader15,373 | 287,640 | ||
| D | 52.2%Clinton137,983 | 39.4%Dole104,121 | 8.5%Perot22,448 | 264,552 | ||
| D | 45.7%Clinton128,569 | 34.5%Bush97,036 | 19.9%Perot55,879 | 281,484 | ||
| R | 48.5%Dukakis113,824 | 50.3%Bush117,899 | 1.2%Paul2,750 | 234,473 | ||
| R | 42.1%Mondale91,585 | 56.9%Reagan123,830 | 1.0%Bergland2,197 | 217,612 | ||
| R | 34.4%Carter64,418 | 49.7%Reagan93,055 | 15.8%Anderson29,584 | 187,057 | ||
| R | 45.9%Carter71,214 | 49.8%Ford77,264 | 4.2%McCarthy6,583 | 155,061 | ||
| R | 34.9%McGovern56,223 | 45.4%Nixon73,154 | 19.7%Schmitz31,733 | 161,110 | ||
| R | 40.7%Humphrey39,786 | 50.6%Nixon49,479 | 8.7%Wallace8,501 | 97,766 | ||
| D | 53.4%Johnson54,120 | 46.4%Goldwater46,955 | 0.2%Hass203 | 101,278 | ||
| R | 47.3%Kennedy42,171 | 52.4%Nixon46,734 | 0.3%Byrd239 | 89,144 | ||
| R | 37.4%Stevenson23,536 | 62.5%Eisenhower39,298 | 0.1%Andrews51 | 62,885 | ||
| R | 39.8%Stevenson21,237 | 60.2%Eisenhower32,113 | 0.0% | 53,350 | ||
| D | 49.7%Truman17,692 | 47.6%Dewey16,968 | 2.7%Thurmond965 | 35,625 | ||
| D | 54.4%Roosevelt13,006 | 45.4%Dewey10,850 | 0.2%Thomas57 | 23,913 | ||
| D | 59.6%Roosevelt14,035 | 40.1%Willkie9,445 | 0.3%Thomas82 | 23,562 | ||
| D | 65.9%Roosevelt12,249 | 32.7%Landon6,079 | 1.4%Lemke262 | 18,590 | ||
| D | 62.4%Roosevelt11,061 | 34.7%Hoover6,152 | 2.9%Thomas514 | 17,727 | ||
| R | 42.7%Smith4,976 | 56.9%Hoover6,635 | 0.4%Thomas42 | 11,653 | ||
| R | 30.7%Davis2,594 | 42.2%Coolidge3,559 | 27.1%La Follette2,286 | 8,439 | ||
| R | 42.0%Cox2,455 | 58.0%Harding3,392 | 0.0% | 5,847 | ||
| R | 42.2%Wilson2,079 | 53.1%Hughes2,616 | 4.6%Benson227 | 4,922 | ||
| O | 38.4%Wilson693 | 19.6%Taft353 | 42.0%Roosevelt758 | 1,804 | ||
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| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +18.8% |
| 1916 | −10.9% |
| 1920 | −16.0% |
| 1924 | −11.4% |
| 1928 | −14.2% |
| 1932 | +27.7% |
| 1936 | +33.2% |
| 1940 | +19.5% |
| 1944 | +9.0% |
| 1948 | +2.0% |
| 1952 | −20.4% |
| 1956 | −25.1% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +7.1% |
| 1968 | −9.9% |
| 1972 | −10.5% |
| 1976 | −3.9% |
| 1980 | −15.3% |
| 1984 | −14.8% |
| 1988 | −1.7% |
| 1992 | +11.2% |
| 1996 | +12.8% |
| 2000 | +8.0% |
| 2004 | +6.0% |
| 2008 | +6.1% |
| 2012 | +6.9% |
| 2016 | +13.6% |
| 2020 | +18.6% |
| 2024 | +15.2% |
Tucson anchors Pima County, one of Arizona's most consistently Democratic metros, driven by a large university population, significant Latino electorate, and a border-adjacent economy that shapes voters' priorities on trade and immigration policy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.2 points.
A population of 1,060,490, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,315 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flagstaff, AZ and Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tucson, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/46060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.