Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Oak Harbor, WA
presidential margin
2008D+6.22012D+4.42016D+5.62020D+12.02024D+16.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+16.5
2024
median income$90,551U.S. $80,734 · WA $98,141
median age44.8U.S. 39.1 · WA 38.5
poverty rate7.7%U.S. 12.5% · WA 9.9%
bachelor’s+ (25+)36.6%U.S. 35.6% · WA 39.3%
non-english9.4%U.S. 22.3% · WA 21.5%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German17.2%
English16.2%
Irish12.8%
Mexican6.1%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Nicaraguan0.3%
Filipino2.4%
Chinese0.6%
Vietnamese0.4%
African American†1.7%
African0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.6%
Other Christian0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Oak Harbor, WA, Washington

Akashic
Oak Harbor, WAHarrisD+16.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Oak Harbor, WA, WAA map of the single county of Oak Harbor, WA, WA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Island County, WA · D+16.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic56.4%29,595
Donald TrumpRepublican40.0%20,967
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.6%1,887
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Oak Harbor, WA, WA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Island County, WADemocraticD+16.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
56.4%Harris29,595
40.0%Trump20,967
3.6%Kennedy1,887
+16.5%
52,449
D
54.2%Biden29,213
42.2%Trump22,746
3.6%Jorgensen1,966
+12.0%
53,925
D
47.3%Clinton20,960
41.7%Trump18,465
11.0%Johnson4,848
+5.6%
44,273
D
50.7%Obama21,478
46.3%Romney19,605
3.0%Johnson1,289
+4.4%
42,372
D
52.3%Obama22,058
46.1%McCain19,426
1.6%Nader675
+6.2%
42,159
R
47.2%Kerry18,216
51.2%Bush19,754
1.6%Nader610
−4.0%
38,580
R
44.8%Gore14,778
49.7%Bush16,408
5.5%Nader1,818
−4.9%
33,004
R
42.7%Clinton12,157
43.5%Dole12,387
13.8%Perot3,920
−0.8%
28,464
D
35.2%Clinton9,555
35.1%Bush9,526
29.8%Perot8,087
+0.1%
27,168
R
39.9%Dukakis8,510
58.8%Bush12,552
1.4%Paul291
−18.9%
21,353
R
33.2%Mondale6,850
65.7%Reagan13,548
1.1%Bergland218
−32.5%
20,616
R
29.2%Carter5,422
58.9%Reagan10,926
11.9%Anderson2,211
−29.7%
18,559
R
41.5%Carter5,859
55.3%Ford7,804
3.1%McCarthy441
−13.8%
14,104
R
28.6%McGovern3,149
68.1%Nixon7,495
3.3%Schmitz359
−39.5%
11,003
R
40.5%Humphrey3,238
51.0%Nixon4,077
8.6%Wallace685
−10.5%
8,000
D
56.4%Johnson3,946
43.5%Goldwater3,044
0.1%Hass9
+12.9%
6,999
R
40.5%Kennedy2,470
59.0%Nixon3,596
0.5%Byrd28
−18.5%
6,094
R
38.5%Stevenson2,009
61.2%Eisenhower3,196
0.3%Andrews17
−22.7%
5,222
R
37.7%Stevenson1,772
61.7%Eisenhower2,901
0.6%Hallinan30
−24.0%
4,703
R
46.0%Truman1,694
49.0%Dewey1,805
4.9%Thurmond181
−3.0%
3,680
D
52.1%Roosevelt1,662
46.7%Dewey1,487
1.2%Thomas38
+5.5%
3,187
D
53.2%Roosevelt1,626
44.8%Willkie1,371
2.0%Thomas60
+8.3%
3,057
D
60.0%Roosevelt1,687
32.7%Landon921
7.3%Lemke205
+27.2%
2,813
D
57.0%Roosevelt1,517
30.2%Hoover803
12.8%Thomas342
+26.8%
2,662
R
26.6%Smith556
71.3%Hoover1,487
2.1%Thomas44
−44.6%
2,087
O
6.3%Davis114
46.2%Coolidge832
47.4%La Follette853
La Follette +1.2
1,799
R
16.5%Cox285
51.2%Harding883
32.3%Debs557
−34.7%
1,725
D
46.3%Wilson855
43.6%Hughes804
10.1%Benson186
+2.8%
1,845
O
19.7%Wilson310
21.1%Taft332
59.2%Roosevelt931
Roosevelt +38.1
1,573
R
24.8%Bryan192
58.2%Taft450
16.9%Debs131
−33.4%
773
R
14.1%Parker83
72.0%Roosevelt424
13.9%Debs82
−57.9%
589
R
29.3%Bryan123
62.6%McKinley263
8.1%Woolley34
−33.3%
420
R
47.2%Bryan191
50.9%McKinley206
2.0%Palmer8
−3.7%
405
R
32.1%Cleveland127
40.7%Harrison161
27.3%Weaver108
−8.6%
396
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +16.5% in 2024.flipped D · 2008+16.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−8.6%
1896−3.7%
1900−33.3%
1904−57.9%
1908−33.4%
1912−1.4%
1916+2.8%
1920−34.7%
1924−39.9%
1928−44.6%
1932+26.8%
1936+27.2%
1940+8.3%
1944+5.5%
1948−3.0%
1952−24.0%
1956−22.7%
1960−18.5%
1964+12.9%
1968−10.5%
1972−39.5%
1976−13.8%
1980−29.7%
1984−32.5%
1988−18.9%
1992+0.1%
1996−0.8%
2000−4.9%
2004−4.0%
2008+6.2%
2012+4.4%
2016+5.6%
2020+12.0%
2024+16.5%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Oak Harbor, WATotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 72,690 in 2024.18.2K36.3K54.5K72.7K72.7K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Oak Harbor, WA
YearTotal registered
201660,920
201862,638
202068,472
202268,781
202472,690
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Home to Naval Air Station Whidbey Island, Oak Harbor anchors a community where military families make up an outsized share of residents, consistently producing Republican presidential margins well above Washington state's suburban averages.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.5 points.

A population of 86,836, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,551 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bellingham, WA and Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bellingham, WA
89.5twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
89.4twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
83.0twin score
2016–2024 trajectorymedian income≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oak Harbor, WA, Washington. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/36020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Oak Harbor, WA

counties1
Island County

Frequently asked questions

How did Oak Harbor, WA, Washington vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oak Harbor, WA, Washington voted Democratic by 16.5 points (D+16.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 52,449 votes cast, 29,595 went Democratic and 20,967 went Republican.
When did Oak Harbor, WA, Washington last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Oak Harbor, WA, Washington voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Oak Harbor, WA, Washington?
Oak Harbor, WA, Washington has a population of 86,836 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oak Harbor, WA, Washington?
Median household income in Oak Harbor, WA, Washington is $90,551 — above the national median of $80,734. The Washington state median is $98,141.
What is the political history of Oak Harbor, WA, Washington?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Oak Harbor, WA, Washington from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.