Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Great Falls, MT
presidential margin
2008D+2.32012R+9.02016R+21.62020R+19.72024R+22.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+22.3
2024
median income$67,690U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age38.6U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate13.1%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)28.4%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.1%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German21.9%
Irish12.8%
English11.5%
Mexican3.2%
Puerto Rican0.6%
Spanish0.4%
Blackfeet0.4%
African American†1.2%
Filipino0.5%
Chinese0.2%
Korean0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline4.4%
Other Christian0.9%
Black Protestant0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Great Falls, MT, Montana

Akashic
Great Falls, MTTrumpR+22.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Great Falls, MT, MTA map of the single county of Great Falls, MT, MT, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Cascade County, MT · R+22.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican59.7%22,419
Kamala HarrisDemocratic37.3%14,021
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.0%1,143
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Great Falls, MT, MT — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Cascade County, MTRepublicanR+22.3
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
37.3%Harris14,021
59.7%Trump22,419
3.0%Kennedy1,143
−22.3%
37,583
R
38.8%Biden15,456
58.5%Trump23,315
2.8%Jorgensen1,114
−19.7%
39,885
R
35.2%Clinton12,175
56.8%Trump19,632
8.0%Johnson2,764
−21.6%
34,571
R
44.1%Obama15,232
53.1%Romney18,345
2.9%Johnson999
−9.0%
34,576
D
49.9%Obama17,664
47.6%McCain16,857
2.4%Paul867
+2.3%
35,388
R
40.9%Kerry13,701
56.9%Bush19,028
2.2%Nader730
−15.9%
33,459
R
39.4%Gore13,137
54.5%Bush18,164
6.1%Nader2,016
−15.1%
33,317
D
44.9%Clinton15,707
40.8%Dole14,291
14.3%Perot5,008
+4.0%
35,006
D
40.2%Clinton14,719
34.2%Bush12,494
25.6%Perot9,365
+6.1%
36,578
R
48.9%Dukakis15,718
49.6%Bush15,946
1.4%Paul460
−0.7%
32,124
R
41.3%Mondale14,252
57.5%Reagan19,846
1.2%Bergland407
−16.2%
34,505
R
34.5%Carter11,105
54.8%Reagan17,664
10.7%Anderson3,465
−20.3%
32,234
R
48.1%Carter14,678
50.1%Ford15,289
1.8%Anderson544
−2.0%
30,511
R
41.8%McGovern12,899
52.4%Nixon16,159
5.8%Schmitz1,778
−10.6%
30,836
D
50.4%Humphrey13,507
43.2%Nixon11,588
6.4%Wallace1,708
+7.2%
26,803
D
65.9%Johnson17,609
33.6%Goldwater8,986
0.4%Hass119
+32.3%
26,714
D
54.1%Kennedy14,117
45.7%Nixon11,928
0.2%Byrd45
+8.4%
26,090
R
47.1%Stevenson11,098
52.9%Eisenhower12,455
0.0%
−5.8%
23,553
R
47.3%Stevenson11,051
52.1%Eisenhower12,176
0.6%Hallinan146
−4.8%
23,373
D
61.0%Truman12,082
34.5%Dewey6,830
4.6%Thurmond905
+26.5%
19,817
D
62.6%Roosevelt10,924
36.5%Dewey6,372
0.8%Thomas141
+26.1%
17,437
D
67.1%Roosevelt13,637
31.7%Willkie6,443
1.2%Thomas244
+35.4%
20,324
D
74.9%Roosevelt13,325
22.9%Landon4,077
2.2%Lemke387
+52.0%
17,789
D
59.7%Roosevelt10,047
34.5%Hoover5,800
5.8%Thomas976
+25.2%
16,823
R
44.0%Smith6,540
55.1%Hoover8,183
0.9%Thomas133
−11.1%
14,856
R
19.0%Davis2,220
43.4%Coolidge5,081
37.6%La Follette4,405
−24.4%
11,706
R
34.0%Cox3,938
58.8%Harding6,808
7.1%Debs826
−24.8%
11,572
D
62.1%Wilson6,612
30.6%Hughes3,253
7.3%Benson776
+31.6%
10,641
O
35.9%Wilson1,633
23.7%Taft1,079
40.4%Roosevelt1,837
Roosevelt +4.5
4,549
R
43.8%Bryan1,888
44.9%Taft1,935
11.4%Debs490
−1.1%
4,313
R
31.9%Parker1,385
55.3%Roosevelt2,405
12.8%Debs556
−23.5%
4,346
D
55.2%Bryan2,564
43.0%McKinley1,997
1.9%Woolley87
+12.2%
4,648
D
75.1%Bryan2,920
24.5%McKinley953
0.4%Palmer15
+50.6%
3,888
R
41.3%Cleveland1,184
45.2%Harrison1,295
13.4%Weaver385
−3.9%
2,864
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −22.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−22.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−3.9%
1896+50.6%
1900+12.2%
1904−23.5%
1908−1.1%
1912+12.2%
1916+31.6%
1920−24.8%
1924−24.4%
1928−11.1%
1932+25.2%
1936+52.0%
1940+35.4%
1944+26.1%
1948+26.5%
1952−4.8%
1956−5.8%
1960+8.4%
1964+32.3%
1968+7.2%
1972−10.6%
1976−2.0%
1980−20.3%
1984−16.2%
1988−0.7%
1992+6.1%
1996+4.0%
2000−15.1%
2004−15.9%
2008+2.3%
2012−9.0%
2016−21.6%
2020−19.7%
2024−22.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Great Falls, MTTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 51,988 in 2024.13.5K26.9K40.4K53.9K52K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Great Falls, MT
YearTotal registered
201653,867
201849,406
202050,314
202249,679
202451,988
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Cascade County anchors Montana's north-central plains, where an economy built on agriculture, military presence at Malmstrom Air Force Base, and energy production consistently produces Republican margins above the statewide average.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 24.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.3 points.

A population of 84,606, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,690 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Billings, MT and Muncie, IN.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Billings, MT
78.6twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedNorwegian ancestry
Muncie, IN
75.2twin score
% unaffiliated% White% Catholic≠ elasticity
Terre Haute, IN
73.0twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated2008 margin≠ Norwegian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Great Falls, MT, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/24500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Great Falls, MT

counties1
Cascade County

Frequently asked questions

How did Great Falls, MT, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Great Falls, MT, Montana voted Republican by 22.3 points (R+22.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,583 votes cast, 14,021 went Democratic and 22,419 went Republican.
When did Great Falls, MT, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Great Falls, MT, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Great Falls, MT, Montana has a population of 84,606 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Median household income in Great Falls, MT, Montana is $67,690 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Great Falls, MT, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Great Falls, MT, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.